CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd7420a3b47574fbc98cd9f19ffce924f4da54170c4ff45b50941331a74a180f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed paiN | 41c | 86,121$35,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,125.36 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed TheMongolz | 59c | 59,885$35,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,673.39 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…8da0backed paiN | 42c | 19,517$8,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,197 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed TheMongolz | 59c | 17,700$10,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,257 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed paiN | 41c | 11,405$4,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,708.39 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed paiN | 47c | 6,091$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.42 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06a…f31fbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 5,618$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked TheMongolz | 59c | 5,600$3,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.16 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed TheMongolz | 60c | 5,555$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed TheMongolz | 61c | 5,483$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.9 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 54c | 4,819$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.58 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked paiN | 39c | 4,362$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.2 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked paiN | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed paiN | 38c | 3,711$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.38 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed TheMongolz | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed paiN | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.94 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz | 59c | 3,367$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.88 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed TheMongolz | 17c | 3,110$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.34 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 3,083$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.54 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed paiN | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed paiN | 39c | 2,868$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.33 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed paiN | 41c | 2,795$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.86 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 49c | 2,635$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.09 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed TheMongolz | 59c | 2,489$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.56 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked TheMongolz | 60c | 2,181$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.56 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed TheMongolz | 62c | 2,045$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.16 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked TheMongolz | 60c | 1,941$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.56 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked paiN | 61c | 1,800$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed paiN | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed paiN | 40c | 1,547$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 1,527$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.07 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…4b41backed TheMongolz | 61c | 1,476$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.64 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed TheMongolz | 59c | 1,335$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.25 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed TheMongolz | 62c | 1,331$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.9 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed TheMongolz | 61c | 1,197$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.72 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN | 39c | 1,080$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed paiN | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed TheMongolz | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked TheMongolz | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed paiN | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked TheMongolz | 54c | 939.87$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.87 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked paiN | 62c | 906.33$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed paiN | 49c | 808.77$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.66 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed TheMongolz | 47c | 797$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.59 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz | 61c | 777$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.03 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz | 41c | 728.77$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.85 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed TheMongolz | 51c | 699.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…df70backed TheMongolz | 61c | 690$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.1 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 681.88$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.88 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 659.99$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.33 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked TheMongolz | 70c | 644.57$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.17 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked TheMongolz | 40c | 637.78$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.67 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked paiN | 34c | 621.59$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed TheMongolz | 62c | 562.87$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed TheMongolz | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed TheMongolz | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…0cb9backed TheMongolz | 77c | 497.95$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…6c1dbacked TheMongolz | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -7.9wins | -0.36per pick | 68cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked paiN | 61c | 460$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.32 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked paiN | 42c | 459$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.78 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…bdc5backed paiN | 48c | 441.35$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed TheMongolz | 60c | 417.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.87 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed TheMongolz | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed paiN | 54c | 372$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed paiN | 41c | 370.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed TheMongolz | 52c | 283.95$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed TheMongolz | 59c | 268.92$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 257.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.48 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed TheMongolz | 60c | 257$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed TheMongolz | 54c | 225$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.01 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed TheMongolz | 39c | 218.39$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.22 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked paiN | 56c | 215.51$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed TheMongolz | 54c | 210.15$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed TheMongolz | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed TheMongolz | 57c | 196.38$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…f72fbacked TheMongolz | 52c | 193.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed TheMongolz | 61c | 192$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…757fbacked TheMongolz | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked paiN | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked TheMongolz | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…1774backed TheMongolz | 38c | 151.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 143$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.45 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed TheMongolz | 49c | 134.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0fd8backed paiN | 41c | 126.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed TheMongolz | 63c | 126.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed TheMongolz | 60c | 124.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…7123backed paiN | 41c | 122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed TheMongolz | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed TheMongolz | 57c | 118.47$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5c…2403backed TheMongolz | 60c | 108.61$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 103.12$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked paiN | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…4893backed paiN | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed paiN | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed TheMongolz | 60c | 99.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked TheMongolz | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked paiN | 46c | 86.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed TheMongolz | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed paiN | 39c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.