CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x086d83a36dbd5c536358ca835210bbb204a4d764612aecec183283c0ccbaafee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof TYLOO, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 728.22$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.22 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed Team Falcons | 77c | 558.62$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.48 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked TYLOO | 39c | 551.05$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed TYLOO | 29c | 346.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TYLOO | 13c | 273.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TYLOO | 22c | 249.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons | 67c | 120.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Team Falcons | 65c | 116$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked TYLOO | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 77.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21cc…33a6backed Team Falcons | 77c | 58.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed TYLOO | 22c | 57.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1a…32c2backed TYLOO | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…63febacked Team Falcons | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Team Falcons | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e31…5394backed Team Falcons | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3)Team Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.