CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cf739035095897e729b077b4e22881064ca6a3584b9d72384f02701768524c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 14,777$5,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,227.32 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…eda0backed Virtus.pro | 0c | 10,300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 8,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed Vitality | 68c | 5,476$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 3,333$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.67 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 3,313$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.82 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed Vitality | 80c | 2,812$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.37 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 2,775$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.72 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…a999backed Vitality | 45c | 2,238$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.74 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 2,129$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.63 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Vitality | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed Vitality | 67c | 1,984$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.92 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…ebbfbacked Vitality | 59c | 1,963$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +89%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Vitality | 62c | 1,620$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.57 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Virtus.pro | 11c | 1,200$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Virtus.pro | 9c | 1,157$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Virtus.pro | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Virtus.pro | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Vitality | 61c | 884.33$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.55 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Vitality | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 699.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Vitality | 49c | 677.09$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.09 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Vitality | 77c | 670.03$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.36 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ff…4d98backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 624$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Virtus.pro | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 530.55$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.36 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Virtus.pro | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Virtus.pro | 14c | 420$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…e4b0backed Vitality | 60c | 387.96$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.21 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 364.73$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.76 | 983 | 52.4%515 W · 468 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Vitality | 53c | 354.14$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.97 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…1774backed Vitality | 66c | 315.15$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Vitality | 56c | 279$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Vitality | 38c | 226.68$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 225$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 219.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.17 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 207.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Virtus.pro | 9c | 201.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Virtus.pro | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…15e0backed Vitality | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Vitality | 64c | 170.37$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Virtus.pro | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 153 | 20.9%32 W · 121 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…7949backed Vitality | 77c | 145.54$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Virtus.pro | 10c | 144.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…fea3backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 138.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 130.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…3627backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 121.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe030…8d5fbacked Vitality | 71c | 105.07$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ad…493bbacked Virtus.pro | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Vitality | 53c | 99.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…30e9backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 97.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…01b7backed Vitality | 76c | 91.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 90.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…748dbacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vitality | 50c | 84.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f39…5bc5backed Vitality | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Vitality | 39c | 58.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Vitality | 68c | 55.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 737 | 58.2%429 W · 308 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Vitality | 66c | 53.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Vitality | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Vitality | 57c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9784…e452backed Vitality | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…ba98backed Vitality | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Vitality | 63c | 31.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Vitality | 58c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…4c68backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Vitality | 77c | 28.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…68b8backed Vitality | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Virtus.pro | 68c | 23.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Vitality | 55c | 22.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Vitality | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 826 | 46.2%382 W · 444 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.