CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc6f7fe1c81aa686b14851a9e265d641eff9421ba7bc64fc881d58fe06b95a6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Vitality | 60c | 1,871$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.49 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.25 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Virtus.pro | 5c | 1,056$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 723.31$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.88 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 691.95$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.15 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…126cbacked Vitality | 78c | 514.84$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 323.72$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.81 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb027…888fbacked Vitality | 79c | 303.64$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Vitality | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 140.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 131$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…3ed5backed Vitality | 59c | 91.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Vitality | 65c | 88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Vitality | 63c | 76.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…ca9bbacked Vitality | 62c | 73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Virtus.pro | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 65.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Vitality | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Vitality | 63c | 50.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe144…e1b4backed Vitality | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…4d9abacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…ba98backed Vitality | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Vitality | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro (BO3)Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.