Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juncheng Shang vs Nuno Borges
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x598324a01b53deae440e4098f5c6dd94ca50b942a2e08b8536860b97ab3a4ab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borgesof Shang, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shang | 50c | 8,484$4,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,228.54 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…211dbacked Shang | 56c | 4,104$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Borges | 43c | 2,300$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.93 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Borges | 49c | 2,254$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.38 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Borges | 55c | 2,034$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.38 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Borges | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Shang | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Borges | 44c | 1,705$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.55 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed Borges | 47c | 1,200$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Borges | 41c | 1,178$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.17 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Borges | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Borges | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.3 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Borges | 44c | 978$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.18 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Borges | 48c | 928.57$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.01 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Shang | 59c | 805.12$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.02 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Borges | 54c | 775.5$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.94 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Shang | 40c | 731.31$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.98 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Borges | 41c | 564.77$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.21 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Borges | 61c | 490.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.33 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Shang | 56c | 473.68$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.85 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Shang | 37c | 471.63$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.73 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Shang | 44c | 450.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3edc…2d23backed Shang | 63c | 433.76$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Shang | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…90c5backed Shang | 47c | 393.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Borges | 52c | 362.24$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.57 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Borges | 44c | 335.08$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.64 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd9…714cbacked Borges | 40c | 293.32$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Shang | 45c | 253.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Shang | 55c | 242.57$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Shang | 48c | 235.54$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Shang | 57c | 220.05$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.43 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb54f…70c3backed Borges | 58c | 207.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.06 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Shang | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Borges | 44c | 192$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Borges | 45c | 175.84$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.71 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Borges | 57c | 175.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Shang | 52c | 137.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Shang | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Borges | 55c | 102.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Shang | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Borges | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Borges | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…2003backed Borges | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +119%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Borges | 63c | 98.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Borges | 44c | 88.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Shang | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Shang | 46c | 83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…a920backed Borges | 43c | 80.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Borges | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Shang | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Borges | 50c | 79.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Shang | 57c | 78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Shang | 57c | 66.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…a86fbacked Shang | 34c | 49.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Borges | 41c | 48.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Shang | 39c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…f1b3backed Borges | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Shang | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Shang | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Shang | 59c | 40.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Borges | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Shang | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Borges | 65c | 29.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Borges | 44c | 25.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Borges | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Shang | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.