Chess · resolved market
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74e9ea718ce2ea844ad9c04659da811f9a4b534a97e820dac49d7b46176e0e1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 46c | 9,187$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 78c | 7,309$5,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.02 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Yes | 24c | 5,879$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.73 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed Yes | 24c | 5,050$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8e95backed Yes | 4c | 5,020$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.62 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked No | 77c | 3,569$2,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,866$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.83 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…e4b3backed Yes | 2c | 2,705$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 39c | 2,217$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +175.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…b609backed Yes | 27c | 2,202$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.68 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 10c | 2,071$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.58 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…1a0dbacked Yes | 38c | 2,024$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.28 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 75c | 1,829$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.32 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…8786backed Yes | 42c | 1,661$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…387cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,464$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,215$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e80…9eadbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 3c | 974.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +222.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 36c | 908.98$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.47 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…2003backed Yes | 40c | 870.9$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…3d8abacked Yes | 53c | 771.07$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 26c | 728$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.38 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 57c | 719.9$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…eacfbacked Yes | 40c | 519.06$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…dc0fbacked Yes | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152d…ac05backed No | 79c | 499.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…9799backed Yes | 37c | 453.54$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.31 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +210.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 35c | 411.65$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…d106backed Yes | 49c | 410.55$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 52c | 386.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…b299backed Yes | 29c | 360.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…d389backed Yes | 22c | 352.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd188…f605backed No | 65c | 344.68$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…94b4backed Yes | 55c | 342.68$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…2bbdbacked Yes | 29c | 330.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 63c | 277.77$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 51c | 271.72$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.09 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…8a16backed Yes | 38c | 240.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.72 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc201…1c9ebacked Yes | 22c | 227.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 14c | 226.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…b45dbacked Yes | 10c | 220$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3c…6ac0backed Yes | 32c | 200.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…e408backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…c799backed Yes | 22c | 156.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3f…1503backed Yes | 33c | 136.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…8d61backed Yes | 14c | 130.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a03…0fcabacked Yes | 34c | 124.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…6f43backed No | 68c | 122.93$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…de9ebacked Yes | 27c | 121.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fd…de15backed Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3f3cbacked Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf033…9ea3backed Yes | 50c | 100.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…46ffbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…c159backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…012bbacked Yes | 24c | 91.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…548fbacked No | 74c | 87.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Yes | 33c | 84.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e67…d472backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +387.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff0…f9e0backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…87dcbacked Yes | 24c | 70.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +205.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…be55backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…c991backed Yes | 48c | 62.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…6130backed No | 78c | 61.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +195.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182a…c9bebacked Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…e6c1backed No | 74c | 55.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…ebb6backed Yes | 25c | 54.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd767…50bebacked Yes | 27c | 52.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…1684backed Yes | 40c | 50.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcecb…4edcbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…c8ccbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…0bdbbacked No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +407.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…39f3backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…a0cdbacked Yes | 35c | 39.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x427b…eb4bbacked Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…7316backed Yes | 31c | 32.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c9…7dc6backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…3199backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x176b…b9e7backed No | 78c | 27.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +464.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3795…4c73backed No | 54c | 23.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed No | 69c | 20.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd667…9a78backed No | 61c | 19.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed No | 68c | 18.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed No | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?this page
- Will Ding Liren win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?No won
- Will Game 13 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.