Chess · resolved market
Will Game 13 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ca9d58d35f1f635c2ef7570841b1065e79e4e99ee4d146988bf46faea41871b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 34c | 7,335$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 54c | 4,572$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.92 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 42c | 4,368$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 62c | 4,213$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.31 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Yes | 66c | 4,110$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 19c | 2,416$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.72 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 65c | 2,048$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.69 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 63c | 2,018$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.43 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x152d…ac05backed Yes | 66c | 1,805$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…c328backed Yes | 65c | 1,719$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd667…9a78backed Yes | 63c | 1,427$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.66 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…79d3backed Yes | 63c | 1,279$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…1a0dbacked Yes | 66c | 1,197$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.06 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116a…4950backed Yes | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5484…92e0backed No | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…bc39backed No | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…1ec6backed Yes | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…c893backed Yes | 62c | 1,022$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked No | 50c | 1,010$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.1 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…8786backed No | 43c | 731.71$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.72 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked No | 18c | 639.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked No | 39c | 530.25$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 60c | 523.58$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.43 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38c…3ee7backed No | 38c | 451.88$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 23c | 434.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked No | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f76…8e57backed No | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…0682backed Yes | 55c | 370.83$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd767…50bebacked No | 46c | 351.91$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed No | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed No | 27c | 332.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…2152backed Yes | 67c | 298.18$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…d106backed Yes | 61c | 280.15$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…c799backed No | 13c | 279.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…e4b3backed No | 37c | 279.44$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 73c | 272.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc725…34e7backed No | 42c | 249.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f2…710fbacked No | 44c | 229.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…c159backed Yes | 70c | 221.82$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…eacfbacked Yes | 59c | 220.78$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 73c | 215.63$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed No | 45c | 207.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked Yes | 66c | 204.03$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8e95backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x427b…eb4bbacked No | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4755…20fdbacked Yes | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Yes | 50c | 196.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…c92fbacked No | 37c | 163.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…522fbacked Yes | 66c | 159.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…602dbacked No | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed Yes | 64c | 143.8$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…94b4backed Yes | 79c | 129.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…af63backed Yes | 70c | 127.19$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d68…6af4backed No | 36c | 126.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x050c…bf27backed Yes | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182a…c9bebacked Yes | 65c | 116.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4f…f206backed No | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +341.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…eb03backed Yes | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f4…2460backed No | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf43…7f2bbacked No | 35c | 94.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…c283backed No | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…8a16backed No | 37c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 59c | 75.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5e…1802backed No | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b7…b222backed Yes | 73c | 74.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…6f43backed No | 33c | 73.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…8e64backed Yes | 61c | 65.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759a…5634backed Yes | 68c | 62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…8a30backed Yes | 72c | 61.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…23a5backed No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…2bbdbacked No | 34c | 59.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…14cebacked No | 34c | 58.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dac…ff25backed No | 37c | 58.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1b…e2e2backed No | 34c | 53.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 41c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…4198backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…d389backed No | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…3199backed No | 53c | 47.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…39f3backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed No | 50c | 39.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…c991backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…d84abacked No | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Yes | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb36…eb17backed Yes | 63c | 27.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3f3cbacked Yes | 76c | 26.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…548fbacked Yes | 70c | 25.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…6d22backed No | 45c | 24.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae5…9f53backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ab…4cb2backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ce…d575backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…334abacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…f983backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ae…e9b2backed Yes | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Game 13 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?this page
- Will Ding Liren win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?No won
- Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.