Chess · resolved market
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournament
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbdba8951f15aef535cc10619b276061a342bdbf075a35e606193c0df24e92eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Yes | 67c | 481.85$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.38 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…8973backed Yes | 74c | 413.83$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…440abacked Yes | 41c | 389.1$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.01 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 36c | 354.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…59c6backed Yes | 23c | 346.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.8 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 67c | 334.18$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 67c | 309.7$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 10c | 215.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…4f89backed Yes | 29c | 162.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…af4dbacked Yes | 45c | 146.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 43c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…2a28backed Yes | 50c | 102.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bb…234abacked Yes | 64c | 88.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 32c | 84.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 45c | 77.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -10.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 78c | 77.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b2…df23backed Yes | 64c | 77.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 61c | 69.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…7346backed No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 36c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x136e…6414backed Yes | 37c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c8…6189backed Yes | 55c | 54.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +322.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 27c | 51.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Yes | 52c | 51.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 69c | 37.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…618bbacked No | 53c | 32.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…6ae6backed Yes | 64c | 28.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd563…92d7backed No | 71c | 27.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…6eadbacked No | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Yes | 53c | 27.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee8…d3fcbacked Yes | 49c | 26.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7670…cda3backed Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 72c | 20.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa236…55e9backed Yes | 75c | 13.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournamentthis page
- Will Anish Giri Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz TournamentNo won
- Will Fabiano Caruana Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz TournamentNo won
- Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz TournamentNo won
- Will Levon Aronian Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz TournamentNo won
- Will Vincent Keymer Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz TournamentNo won
- Will Wesley So Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz TournamentNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.