TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6bb…234a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3745.9%17 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$122.37
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.33
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 6backed BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$24.89
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Dbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.44
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.41
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$48.28
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Dbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.91
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winnerbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.78
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.98
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+139.5%+$139.55
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.56
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$10.89
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.38
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.76
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$35.96
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+517.7%+$342.68
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$385.43
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$120
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$445
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$135.68
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$192.84
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$239.85
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$408.76
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$206.94
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$254.35
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$113.27
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$314.47
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$112
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.34
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.32
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$64.12
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$19.62
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$91.85
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.52
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.73
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warsaw: Mona Barthel vs Elizara Yanevabacked Mona Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.