CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b8e3471da2c6ab0b46d26fd9b63bbb4894845d1308f9ff36d557512fffe556c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof ASTRAL, NAVI Junior
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed ASTRAL | 66c | 1,070$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.41 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed NAVI Junior | 30c | 676.38$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.91 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked NAVI Junior | 74c | 407.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked NAVI Junior | 37c | 387.76$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.31 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed NAVI Junior | 32c | 374.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.91 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked NAVI Junior | 49c | 329.13$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.48 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NAVI Junior | 43c | 263.36$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ASTRAL | 26c | 259.62$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.36 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed NAVI Junior | 37c | 230.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NAVI Junior | 30c | 221.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed ASTRAL | 51c | 191.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked ASTRAL | 54c | 187.23$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed NAVI Junior | 37c | 159.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed ASTRAL | 66c | 150.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…b262backed ASTRAL | 51c | 97.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NAVI Junior | 54c | 90.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NAVI Junior | 15c | 75.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed NAVI Junior | 46c | 63.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ASTRAL | 47c | 55.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bb…234abacked NAVI Junior | 76c | 53.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NAVI Junior | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed NAVI Junior | 47c | 39.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked NAVI Junior | 42c | 36.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed NAVI Junior | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…3065backed NAVI Junior | 40c | 36.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…ef1cbacked ASTRAL | 58c | 35.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed ASTRAL | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ASTRAL | 59c | 29.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed ASTRAL | 35c | 29.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ASTRAL | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ASTRAL | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed ASTRAL | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ASTRAL | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…0f34backed ASTRAL | 63c | 16.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #6 PlayoffsASTRAL won
- Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs NAVI Junior (+1.5)ASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.