CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #6 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x238aef39f542f801b17ab40b711b50ad6ada024956f588570ee84128ce171054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof ASTRAL, NAVI Junior
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked ASTRAL | 70c | 999.97$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 368 | 47.6%175 W · 193 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bf…8475backed NAVI Junior | 43c | 778.33$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NAVI Junior | 35c | 715$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed ASTRAL | 65c | 695.72$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.5 | 455 | 65.9%300 W · 155 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked ASTRAL | 70c | 579.78$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.72 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NAVI Junior | 30c | 524.38$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.2 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked ASTRAL | 56c | 462.27$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.32 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL | 62c | 431.98$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.12 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed NAVI Junior | 30c | 397.63$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.29 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed NAVI Junior | 45c | 394.74$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.87 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked ASTRAL | 56c | 337.32$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 769 | 33.8%260 W · 509 L | -48.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed NAVI Junior | 28c | 318.66$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 896 | 30.7%275 W · 621 L | -64.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ASTRAL | 76c | 284.03$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed NAVI Junior | 32c | 270$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed ASTRAL | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed ASTRAL | 65c | 236.46$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…b851backed NAVI Junior | 23c | 231.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed ASTRAL | 57c | 216.58$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked NAVI Junior | 36c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…0c9abacked NAVI Junior | 14c | 184.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed NAVI Junior | 45c | 180.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 499 | 52.3%261 W · 238 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed NAVI Junior | 41c | 164$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NAVI Junior | 41c | 161$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked ASTRAL | 70c | 160.51$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked NAVI Junior | 30c | 156.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NAVI Junior | 20c | 150.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed ASTRAL | 68c | 147.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc044…5fb8backed NAVI Junior | 35c | 143.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked NAVI Junior | 28c | 135.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed ASTRAL | 63c | 130$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 486 | 54.5%265 W · 221 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ASTRAL | 64c | 128.1$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ASTRAL | 72c | 127.94$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed NAVI Junior | 19c | 108$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed ASTRAL | 68c | 102.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 404 | 55.4%224 W · 180 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ASTRAL | 70c | 91.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed ASTRAL | 56c | 89.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…a792backed ASTRAL | 58c | 86.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed NAVI Junior | 33c | 85.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 358 | 41.6%149 W · 209 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked ASTRAL | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 394 | 69.3%273 W · 121 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf36…3d96backed NAVI Junior | 19c | 80.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked ASTRAL | 60c | 67.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NAVI Junior | 17c | 60.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NAVI Junior | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed ASTRAL | 66c | 59.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed NAVI Junior | 37c | 53.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked NAVI Junior | 32c | 53.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed ASTRAL | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ASTRAL | 80c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked NAVI Junior | 44c | 47.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed NAVI Junior | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf69e…9457backed NAVI Junior | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked NAVI Junior | 40c | 44.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 339 | 39.2%133 W · 206 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed NAVI Junior | 34c | 40.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked NAVI Junior | 36c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…55c0backed NAVI Junior | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…60ebbacked NAVI Junior | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked ASTRAL | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked ASTRAL | 63c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…5712backed NAVI Junior | 43c | 34.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked ASTRAL | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f40abacked ASTRAL | 75c | 33.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked NAVI Junior | 32c | 31.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed ASTRAL | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 423 | 71.9%304 W · 119 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ASTRAL | 70c | 26.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed ASTRAL | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ac…2fb7backed ASTRAL | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ASTRAL | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked ASTRAL | 79c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 186 | 80.6%150 W · 36 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ASTRAL | 77c | 17.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #6 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
- Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs NAVI Junior (+1.5)ASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.