Chess · resolved market
Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournament
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2b34a9691cd09a412ddda9e004506a972ec8aaafbe8ecefaf4f1ecd95b3840c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x880c…440abacked No | 75c | 665.37$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.95 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…8973backed Yes | 50c | 466.37$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 25c | 395$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…e91fbacked Yes | 33c | 371.51$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 72c | 309.7$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 39c | 306$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.61 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 77c | 253.01$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…2f60backed Yes | 17c | 223.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…59c6backed Yes | 27c | 197.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 63c | 174.03$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…7a13backed Yes | 43c | 171.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Yes | 32c | 158.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…0704backed No | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed Yes | 11c | 112.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 77c | 99.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -10.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 79c | 97.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…af4dbacked Yes | 41c | 89.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 39c | 77.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 32c | 60.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked No | 67c | 53.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd563…92d7backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 67c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 61c | 42.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 64c | 41.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 76c | 40.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c76backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…25a7backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x136e…6414backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 73c | 29.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 72c | 20.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5705…4652backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6648…f69abacked No | 77c | 18.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 18.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…8798backed No | 75c | 16.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…7346backed No | 66c | 15.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournamentthis page
- Will Anish Giri Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz TournamentNo won
- Will Fabiano Caruana Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz TournamentNo won
- Will Levon Aronian Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz TournamentNo won
- Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz TournamentYes won
- Will Vincent Keymer Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz TournamentNo won
- Will Wesley So Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz TournamentNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.