Chess · resolved market
Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fd3005082c9e51553c9edeb19549a35f9f516204c75d35afc8830d725808db0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 1,200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b8…3c05backed Yes | 64c | 782.22$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 36c | 744.17$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 28c | 720.56$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…93ecbacked Yes | 58c | 534.07$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 23c | 527.51$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580b…72a3backed Yes | 60c | 485.91$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed No | 42c | 474.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 27c | 436.48$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 19c | 432.73$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 17c | 400.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 20c | 370.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Yes | 58c | 369.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 64c | 317.17$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 10c | 270$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ec…d19ebacked No | 17c | 249.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…2a28backed No | 42c | 249.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…757dbacked Yes | 74c | 240$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 20c | 229.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…0789backed No | 23c | 221.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 22c | 215$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked No | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 36c | 164.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 21c | 156.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 17c | 156$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 22c | 150.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ca…f587backed Yes | 66c | 149.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 18c | 141.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a7…eb78backed No | 9c | 140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked No | 20c | 136$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…65f5backed No | 38c | 126.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed No | 45c | 112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…59c6backed No | 24c | 110.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…699dbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked No | 11c | 94.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…a665backed No | 15c | 94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…12babacked Yes | 66c | 87.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 26c | 83.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…440abacked No | 35c | 76.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed No | 15c | 71.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…6577backed No | 28c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked No | 36c | 67.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 38c | 67.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 20c | 64.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4a…db2bbacked Yes | 76c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf15…91c5backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 25c | 57.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 23c | 57.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Yes | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…becebacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…3335backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 39c | 48.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58b…8e28backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52d…b4dbbacked No | 41c | 41.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca98…74b8backed Yes | 62c | 40.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17b…1068backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…c2a8backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…d8dabacked Yes | 57c | 37.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…6ae6backed Yes | 63c | 36.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…8477backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0f…ec43backed Yes | 75c | 30.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…550abacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…adb3backed Yes | 59c | 29.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…85cabacked Yes | 69c | 27.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…80c0backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bac…07a4backed Yes | 65c | 25.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed Yes | 55c | 25.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…875abacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +140.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…af9cbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…a005backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…2c26backed Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c76backed Yes | 61c | 17.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?this page
- Will Alireza Firouzja Win EWC 2026 Chess?No won
- Will Arjun Erigaisi Win EWC 2026 Chess?No won
- Will Denis Lazavik Win EWC 2026 Chess?No won
- Will Hikaru Nakamura Win EWC 2026 Chess?No won
- Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov Win EWC 2026 Chess?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.