Tennis · resolved market
Will Iga Swiatek Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5e6d4c2857b25c09de4f13debe50c69265b797045cb5e98acad34f48342d00b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 77c | 401.02$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 77c | 292.96$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.62 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Yes | 46c | 261.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.88 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…ed16backed Yes | 51c | 194.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3618…21cfbacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…7f12backed Yes | 39c | 163.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 52c | 133.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 32c | 129.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fa…5e16backed Yes | 34c | 113.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x069e…2f84backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1541…033fbacked No | 67c | 47.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…c078backed No | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 40c | 43.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 33c | 41.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 55c | 36.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…ce98backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 50c | 20.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…59c6backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Yes | 52c | 19.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 166 | 36.7%61 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iga Swiatek Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?this page
- Will Alexandra Eala Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?No won
- Will Anna Kalinskaya Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?No won
- Will Aryna Sabalenka Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?No won
- Will Belinda Bencic Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?No won
- Will Coco Gauff Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?No won
- Will Diana Shnaider Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?No won
- Will Elina Svitolina Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?No won
- Will Iva Jovic Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?No won
- Will Leylah Fernandez Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?No won
- Will Liudmila Samsonova Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?No won
- Will Marta Kostyuk Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?No won
- Will Naomi Osaka Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.