F1 · resolved market
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeee1e708eabdb1b3973c6d738630c62f41c92dc8564cfa86b6ccd858fd16df70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 57c | 1,733$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 46c | 935.41$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.54 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 33c | 903.49$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.69 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 22c | 875.55$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.73 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +9.1wins | +0.35per pick | 38cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 64c | 737.39$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.86 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x208a…441ebacked Yes | 30c | 699.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…45acbacked Yes | 44c | 595.12$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…1d19backed Yes | 46c | 558.23$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…e6b8backed Yes | 34c | 544.12$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 34c | 523.78$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.94 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Yes | 4c | 437.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…0c87backed Yes | 25c | 433.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 56c | 414.96$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.53 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 60c | 405.71$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.38 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 33c | 400$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.68 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…2015backed Yes | 33c | 224.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 67c | 218.3$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 59c | 202.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…ccf3backed No | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…2a61backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 38c | 175$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Yes | 22c | 174$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 64c | 159.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 33c | 143.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 67c | 137.54$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 63c | 126.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 67c | 124.63$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 54c | 123.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 67c | 119$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…59c6backed Yes | 15c | 117.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 45c | 112.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x138b…7a32backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 24c | 95.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…c91dbacked No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2163…1f5ebacked Yes | 54c | 70.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16aa…3d1cbacked Yes | 45c | 65.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 51.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed No | 64c | 48.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9b…8b23backed Yes | 32c | 45.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 58c | 44.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b79…4acbbacked Yes | 47c | 42.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…bf32backed No | 29c | 40.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +174.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a9…43a3backed No | 77c | 38.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 41c | 36.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked No | 71c | 28.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110e…5db1backed No | 75c | 26.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc0…47e5backed No | 74c | 24.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 68c | 23.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 68c | 23.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7389…9b89backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…5f71backed No | 68c | 19.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.