F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ec907bd9a5af4f6855c5befe2264366780c4c4809c51dbd939638af3fce2ac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 41c | 534.32$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.07 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…8d12backed Yes | 74c | 405.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 38cpaid | +185.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 68c | 360.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 69c | 357.3$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.34 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 29c | 175.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 62c | 165.57$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…3e56backed Yes | 54c | 159.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 70c | 150.67$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 31c | 141.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 23c | 122.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca2…6ababacked Yes | 75c | 112$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 41c | 109.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…0440backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…2015backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbc…90d5backed No | 27c | 93.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe357…50cfbacked Yes | 60c | 83.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 70c | 82.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 25c | 72.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 32c | 71.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49c6…74d4backed Yes | 74c | 67.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…60a2backed Yes | 76c | 66.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed No | 35c | 64.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 27c | 58.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…55d1backed Yes | 64c | 55.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed No | 25c | 53.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 26c | 52.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…a7a3backed Yes | 38c | 52.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Yes | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…59c6backed No | 34c | 47.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 47c | 44.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 75c | 42.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a0…7513backed Yes | 72c | 41.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…5cedbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 36c | 36.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x838b…a603backed Yes | 70c | 28.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6d8fbacked Yes | 75c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…e783backed No | 67c | 25.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…3d3abacked Yes | 71c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4771backed Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…cb96backed Yes | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…429fbacked Yes | 73c | 20.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a9…43a3backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.