F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0076678237ba91a8e7f8a01b90d56f9eee272fa7a47bdb84c780aa83f05e2201
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a80…6b2bbacked Yes | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208a…441ebacked Yes | 51c | 581.6$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 51c | 465.76$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.62 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x138b…7a32backed No | 65c | 388.9$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 55c | 323.27$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.72 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 32c | 317.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 30c | 310.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…8847backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 19c | 290$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 28c | 276.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 70c | 188.15$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed No | 68c | 170.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 55c | 147.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…a827backed Yes | 44c | 128.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 74c | 127.28$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…c91dbacked No | 80c | 125.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 56c | 123$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…55d1backed No | 73c | 112.19$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…9693backed Yes | 20c | 110.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…e1fabacked Yes | 27c | 93.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +96%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 70c | 92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe357…50cfbacked Yes | 58c | 86.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 40c | 84.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…3347backed Yes | 24c | 83.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 39c | 71.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 56c | 68.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…926dbacked No | 78c | 64.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 62.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 25c | 50.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 42c | 47.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7400…0875backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a9…43a3backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…7285backed No | 66c | 30.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 41c | 25.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 76c | 22.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…cb96backed Yes | 51c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…3172backed No | 75c | 16.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?this page
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.