Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08a68ae97395a7c4a88b9546491621b1c94dc82d77c7631616bee6beaa5ae972

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $187,307
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $118,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,307 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ea8…ffcfbacked Yes	2c	8,583$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.72	200	9%18 W · 182 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+173%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	7,219$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.09	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	11c	6,990$762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$762.02	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	0c	6,579$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.92	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9d0…542cbacked Yes	0c	4,756$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.17	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	7c	4,000$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.5	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	7c	2,685$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.47	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	15c	2,668$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	20c	2,467$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	1c	2,200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	2,107$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.44	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	2,064$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	1,699$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.36	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	18c	1,553$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.24	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	78c	1,505$1,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.71	73	71.2%52 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	12c	1,455$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.83	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	5c	1,410$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.66	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	2c	1,355$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	21c	1,287$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.83	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	5c	1,279$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb86…dc7bbacked Yes	16c	1,112$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.4	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	6c	1,080$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes	2c	1,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	3c	1,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	18c	918.84$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.63	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	2c	906.13$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.7	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x288d…00eabacked Yes	20c	898.5$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7156…e0c3backed Yes	1c	812.42$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	5c	790.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.04	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	6c	759.19$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.95	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf61f…1cf3backed Yes	3c	730.18$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.36	129	19.4%25 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	2c	728.8$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb26f…aa5fbacked Yes	17c	707.73$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	640.96$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.45	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	8c	637$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.84	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41be…5f38backed Yes	18c	632$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.31	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	17c	600$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.4	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…4cc5backed Yes	3c	555.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5a…1537backed Yes	3c	542$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.62	159	18.9%30 W · 129 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	535.76$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.11	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	515$412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	3c	511.17$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe906…ae2bbacked Yes	3c	500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	81	9.9%8 W · 73 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	17c	500$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	491.52$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	5c	478.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.1	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	4c	465.06$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.79	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1f4…2a00backed Yes	22c	452.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	2c	446.23$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…4249backed Yes	18c	441.24$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.75	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299b…8994backed Yes	22c	425.09$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.91	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc1…480abacked Yes	10c	419$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.05	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…59c6backed Yes	19c	413.21$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	392.69$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	7c	388.42$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.68	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	7c	378.87$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92f7…47dcbacked Yes	16c	359.96$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.32	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcbe…b37cbacked Yes	16c	346.35$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes	18c	332.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	4c	319.98$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.84	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	+102.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	16c	316.97$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.13	276	47.8%132 W · 144 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed No	77c	292.04$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.06	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	11c	286.8$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.67	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x652e…4a94backed Yes	4c	276.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.31	133	23.3%31 W · 102 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5285…1cc5backed Yes	19c	269.99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.16	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a41…2b22backed Yes	20c	258.02$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.46	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x159f…4043backed Yes	18c	222.77$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	87	21.8%19 W · 68 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c09…eea9backed Yes	11c	210.43$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.82	64	18.8%12 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c04…6587backed Yes	14c	203.74$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	470	32.6%153 W · 317 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98f7…e2a4backed Yes	13c	200$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.4	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3107…fe91backed Yes	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.8	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcefe…895dbacked Yes	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+31%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c66…01d9backed Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…d0e7backed Yes	13c	200$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.4	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6de…8d6abacked Yes	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.8	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba75…837fbacked Yes	13c	200$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.66	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49e2…0124backed Yes	18c	199.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.2	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5846…0948backed Yes	18c	199.89$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x941b…97afbacked Yes	13c	190.49$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d77…04c9backed Yes	8c	179.44$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.17	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	23c	173.9$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb286…c016backed Yes	6c	170$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53d…146cbacked Yes	7c	155.43$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef9…d9b1backed Yes	16c	150.3$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.34	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18c…18c1backed No	76c	150$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe35d…0de2backed Yes	19c	136$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.43	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-26%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes	17c	134.11$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a16…6f38backed Yes	18c	130$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.01	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e1…681abacked Yes	21c	126.18$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf456…91dabacked Yes	10c	120.79$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.83	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	18c	110$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.69	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bf…b296backed Yes	13c	110$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	360	18.9%68 W · 292 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed4…c4f2backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	101	24.8%25 W · 76 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa78f…1905backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d74…fb6cbacked Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.7	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2594…bacdbacked Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.7	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d93…3741backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.9	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+22%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…6bb7backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa45f…4f97backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0898…9a5bbacked Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.7	98	15.3%15 W · 83 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-29%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event