UFC · resolved market
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8a9ba0ffa9e6b1728843da13828bbcfd8d459b6d266c54936ad94581c5db71c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charles Johnsonof Charles Johnson, Eduardo Chapolin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $473,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $510,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Charles Johnson | 53c | 99,442$52,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,003.72 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Eduardo Chapolin | 47c | 63,940$30,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,051.89 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Eduardo Chapolin | 49c | 47,979$23,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,346.36 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Eduardo Chapolin | 48c | 38,677$18,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,414.47 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Charles Johnson | 52c | 29,711$15,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,367.59 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbc…d4adbacked Charles Johnson | 51c | 24,051$12,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,811.67 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Eduardo Chapolin | 48c | 22,222$10,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,666.42 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…0fcbbacked Eduardo Chapolin | 67c | 22,044$14,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,766.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Eduardo Chapolin | 48c | 14,000$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,720 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Charles Johnson | 49c | 11,871$5,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,058.57 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Charles Johnson | 44c | 10,793$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,992.19 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Charles Johnson | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Eduardo Chapolin | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…b4bebacked Charles Johnson | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Charles Johnson | 54c | 7,776$4,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,614.69 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Charles Johnson | 51c | 7,572$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,685.78 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Charles Johnson | 53c | 6,210$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.2 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Charles Johnson | 53c | 6,079$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.02 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Eduardo Chapolin | 48c | 5,850$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.97 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Eduardo Chapolin | 61c | 5,572$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.2 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Eduardo Chapolin | 46c | 5,437$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.47 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Eduardo Chapolin | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Eduardo Chapolin | 47c | 4,846$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.75 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Charles Johnson | 52c | 4,831$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.43 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Charles Johnson | 54c | 4,764$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.19 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Eduardo Chapolin | 50c | 4,511$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Eduardo Chapolin | 48c | 4,500$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Charles Johnson | 45c | 4,079$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.79 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Eduardo Chapolin | 51c | 3,861$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Charles Johnson | 25c | 3,526$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ba…1883backed Charles Johnson | 29c | 3,244$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.51 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Eduardo Chapolin | 55c | 3,159$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Charles Johnson | 47c | 3,155$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.84 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Eduardo Chapolin | 62c | 3,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.02 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Eduardo Chapolin | 54c | 2,871$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.25 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Eduardo Chapolin | 62c | 2,161$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Charles Johnson | 40c | 2,128$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.22 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Eduardo Chapolin | 76c | 2,111$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.54 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Eduardo Chapolin | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…2665backed Eduardo Chapolin | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Charles Johnson | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Charles Johnson | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…5c3dbacked Charles Johnson | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0d…f8bebacked Eduardo Chapolin | 49c | 1,952$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Charles Johnson | 52c | 1,919$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.71 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…7aa2backed Charles Johnson | 53c | 1,850$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.56 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Eduardo Chapolin | 50c | 1,776$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.2 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Eduardo Chapolin | 57c | 1,654$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Eduardo Chapolin | 50c | 1,637$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.59 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…21edbacked Charles Johnson | 38c | 1,591$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.39 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 43cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Charles Johnson | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Eduardo Chapolin | 47c | 1,479$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.24 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked Charles Johnson | 51c | 1,413$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.37 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Charles Johnson | 53c | 1,353$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.55 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Charles Johnson | 68c | 1,333$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…964abacked Charles Johnson | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Charles Johnson | 39c | 1,260$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.84 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Charles Johnson | 49c | 1,234$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.07 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Eduardo Chapolin | 56c | 1,234$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Charles Johnson | 49c | 1,166$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.89 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…a43ebacked Charles Johnson | 35c | 1,144$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Eduardo Chapolin | 70c | 1,142$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.83 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Charles Johnson | 44c | 1,124$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.47 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Eduardo Chapolin | 79c | 1,111$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.69 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Eduardo Chapolin | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Eduardo Chapolin | 6c | 1,070$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 175 | 24%42 W · 133 L | -22.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Charles Johnson | 51c | 1,021$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.27 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Charles Johnson | 45c | 1,005$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.04 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Charles Johnson | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Eduardo Chapolin | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Charles Johnson | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…9120backed Charles Johnson | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Charles Johnson | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Eduardo Chapolin | 51c | 999.98$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.59 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Charles Johnson | 27c | 998.66$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…99e1backed Charles Johnson | 43c | 997.51$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.58 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +11.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Charles Johnson | 43c | 996.24$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 34cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked Charles Johnson | 48c | 989.49$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.89 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Charles Johnson | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked Charles Johnson | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked Charles Johnson | 50c | 916.89$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.32 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Charles Johnson | 54c | 908.11$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.73 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Charles Johnson | 54c | 901.97$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.12 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Eduardo Chapolin | 50c | 899.04$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…cedebacked Charles Johnson | 33c | 889$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.63 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +71%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Eduardo Chapolin | 50c | 873.18$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Eduardo Chapolin | 49c | 851.97$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Eduardo Chapolin | 50c | 844.34$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Eduardo Chapolin | 50c | 840.8$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1b…65d7backed Eduardo Chapolin | 46c | 836.96$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Charles Johnson | 50c | 832.69$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.02 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Charles Johnson | 53c | 814.57$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.45 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…6e9cbacked Charles Johnson | 51c | 813.73$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Charles Johnson | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Charles Johnson | 29c | 799.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.97 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Charles Johnson | 35c | 791.87$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.87 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Charles Johnson | 75c | 781.58$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Charles Johnson | 57c | 768.93$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Charles Johnson | 48c | 760$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Charles Johnson | 53c | 755.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.87 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Eduardo Chapolin win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.