TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e10…44b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 50 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$25.9
Vancouver: Liam Broady vs Jay Dylan Friendbacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.43
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shangbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$416
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paulbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$135
Wimbledon ATP: Gabriel Diallo vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.79
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Wimbledon ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Wimbledon ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wimbledon ATP: Michael Zheng vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodarbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.01
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaurbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$69.55
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.56
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
All 25 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2218.2%4 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 3M Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 3M Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.14
Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.14
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+679.8%+$101.98
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+216%+$118.82
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.06
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.55
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+186%+$225.79
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.61
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.55
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$45.44
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.01
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.76
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$138.22
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42.72
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$38
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$22.38
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.26
All 18 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.