Golf · resolved market
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Truist Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e59539d82aec6d951fd5952e6ef11f47bfba55baa633ccc4ea273e8aa90c00b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc947…3462backed Yes | 13c | 12,307$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.9 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efc…4cdebacked Yes | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3de…ee7fbacked Yes | 18c | 3,217$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c4…a129backed Yes | 11c | 3,157$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.51 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0475…ed7abacked Yes | 11c | 2,923$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed Yes | 5c | 2,577$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Yes | 14c | 2,530$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5294…d176backed Yes | 13c | 2,118$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.46 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…8d01backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…446cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,880$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.61 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…c3c0backed Yes | 22c | 923.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc9…c555backed Yes | 15c | 793.79$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91eb…da31backed Yes | 16c | 599.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…b222backed Yes | 8c | 577.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Yes | 15c | 550$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…7984backed Yes | 17c | 546.93$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…31d7backed Yes | 13c | 414.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…b410backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc23…730cbacked Yes | 10c | 352.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…e134backed Yes | 7c | 300.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…b8c3backed Yes | 9c | 296.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…850fbacked Yes | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e10…44b7backed Yes | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f6…13e9backed Yes | 14c | 175$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b29…2b9dbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…3ee7backed Yes | 15c | 136.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5174…4fa3backed Yes | 20c | 117.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…5844backed Yes | 15c | 100.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…b9d8backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…6abdbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…fa1dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Truist Championship?this page
- Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Corey Conners win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Harris English win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Harry Hall win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Truist Championship?Yes won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
- Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Truist Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.