TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 RBC Heritage?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,656 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc693…72dbbacked Yes4c8,741$315 inLost-$314.681711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-69.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…325bbacked Yes13c8,513$1,096 inLost-$1,096.131414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-70.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Yes5c3,381$160 inLost-$159.72368.3%3 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Yes19c2,476$476 inLost-$475.98714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-68.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0dd…9ffebacked Yes20c2,079$421 inLost-$420.95137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-76.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes4c1,413$52 inLost-$52.29362.8%1 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-92.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d73…c0cdbacked Yes8c1,217$100 inLost-$100.34714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-63.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d6…679abacked Yes4c1,194$47 inLost-$47.12293.4%1 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-85.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x097c…630abacked Yes11c857.01$95 inLost-$94.68742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-35.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…b05ebacked Yes2c778.27$17 inLost-$17.12287.1%2 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e10…44b7backed Yes4c654.28$24 inLost-$23.552218.2%4 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes8c524.14$40 inLost-$39.92616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-54.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92ad…a084backed Yes4c507.32$19 inLost-$18.84425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+259.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Yes3c500$15 inLost-$151030%3 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+75%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc451…978ebacked Yes21c458.27$95 inLost-$94.76205%1 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-87.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e9…9afabacked Yes4c450$19 inLost-$19.35214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick8cpaid+119.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes3c441.68$15 inLost-$14.9224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-90.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes3c371.56$11 inLost-$10.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-74.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes16c317.93$52 inLost-$51.644323.3%10 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c32…5a0bbacked Yes7c283.25$20 inLost-$19.7260%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec58…4307backed Yes10c277.44$27 inLost-$26.5340%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde5e…827abacked Yes5c258.72$14 inLost-$14.1570%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2b…e4afbacked Yes19c200$37 inLost-$37.2540%2 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick8cpaid+447.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes8c178.79$14 inLost-$13.721650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b28…aa68backed Yes21c165.85$34 inLost-$34.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes15c163.08$24 inLost-$23.721421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba63…6271backed Yes17c94.99$16 inLost-$15.675824.1%14 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab68…5844backed Yes18c89.73$16 inLost-$16.161315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x396a…f2ffbacked Yes20c71.75$14 inLost-$14.2840%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5c…7a2dbacked Yes17c64$11 inLost-$10.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.