TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f2b…e4af

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Golf, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 56 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick8cpaid+447.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$20.29
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$16.38
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$12.66
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.76
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.04
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miyazaki: Tung-Lin Wu vs Hiroki Moriyabacked Hiroki Moriya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Yokkaichi: Rio Noguchi vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$16.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$13.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.43
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$37.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75%+$14.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.