Tennis · resolved market
Miyazaki: Tung-Lin Wu vs Hiroki Moriya
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e86de54f053cb7efd96bc8930a9d3f08a1ddb7f52d224de5324ea27b74a47b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tung-Lin Wuof Tung-Lin Wu, Hiroki Moriya
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 73c | 5,504$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.01 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hiroki Moriya | 28c | 3,123$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.39 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tung-Lin Wu | 61c | 1,794$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.8 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hiroki Moriya | 28c | 1,410$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.72 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hiroki Moriya | 26c | 1,381$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.7 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8e…f961backed Hiroki Moriya | 39c | 953.47$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.31 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Hiroki Moriya | 28c | 893.94$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.88 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 75c | 832$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.33 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Hiroki Moriya | 34c | 787.62$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.25 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tung-Lin Wu | 71c | 713.88$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.77 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hiroki Moriya | 21c | 661.11$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 73c | 584.59$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.14 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hiroki Moriya | 19c | 480.34$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Hiroki Moriya | 29c | 475.56$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.91 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Tung-Lin Wu | 66c | 462.33$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.45 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Hiroki Moriya | 32c | 461.58$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.33 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Tung-Lin Wu | 75c | 443.45$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 246 | 38.2%94 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tung-Lin Wu | 72c | 429.57$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 76c | 390.86$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Hiroki Moriya | 32c | 278.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Tung-Lin Wu | 75c | 261.82$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Hiroki Moriya | 46c | 241.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.27 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hiroki Moriya | 28c | 219.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…9d9fbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 70c | 210.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Hiroki Moriya | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Hiroki Moriya | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Tung-Lin Wu | 73c | 164.02$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 72c | 161.03$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Hiroki Moriya | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Hiroki Moriya | 26c | 147.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hiroki Moriya | 20c | 138.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Tung-Lin Wu | 73c | 129.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -20.8wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Hiroki Moriya | 26c | 121.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Hiroki Moriya | 46c | 111.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc98…5308backed Tung-Lin Wu | 68c | 111.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Hiroki Moriya | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hiroki Moriya | 24c | 109.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Hiroki Moriya | 32c | 97.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hiroki Moriya | 21c | 87.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Tung-Lin Wu | 60c | 86.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Tung-Lin Wu | 77c | 84.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Tung-Lin Wu | 42c | 80.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 66c | 60.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…f5babacked Hiroki Moriya | 24c | 57.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Tung-Lin Wu | 51c | 57.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Hiroki Moriya | 30c | 56.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 71c | 49.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Tung-Lin Wu | 72c | 49.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Tung-Lin Wu | 72c | 49.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 272 | 40.4%110 W · 162 L | -25.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hiroki Moriya | 41c | 47.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 71c | 43.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Tung-Lin Wu | 73c | 40.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…c173backed Tung-Lin Wu | 63c | 39.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 59c | 39.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Hiroki Moriya | 33c | 38.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Hiroki Moriya | 35c | 37.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Hiroki Moriya | 37c | 36.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 57c | 28.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Tung-Lin Wu | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 62c | 26.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 253 | 66.8%169 W · 84 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Tung-Lin Wu | 72c | 26.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Tung-Lin Wu | 71c | 26.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de5…1139backed Tung-Lin Wu | 63c | 25.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 67c | 23.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…e4afbacked Hiroki Moriya | 49c | 21.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…8b08backed Tung-Lin Wu | 70c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 252 | 65.1%164 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 72c | 19.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Tung-Lin Wu | 69c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 328 | 43.9%144 W · 184 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 74c | 14.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 435 | 58.6%255 W · 180 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.