TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,782
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,782 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbe87…6fc0backed No44c10,683$4,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,016.351471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+70.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes65c7,788$5,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,085742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No48c3,298$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.8646644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes55c3,022$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.4398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.952763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No39c2,756$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.98139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Yes51c2,749$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.751643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c2,531$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.6347850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes63c1,599$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.21580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+68.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes8c1,592$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.232213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-75.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes49c1,264$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.382245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes55c1,125$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.62922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes56c1,080$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.9513049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No34c1,063$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.1143748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes63c1,061$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.391040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No36c999.97$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.0310837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes45c919.76$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.895933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No36c905.45$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.0130536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No46c784.93$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.931735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No34c600$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3962045%9 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No65c594.25$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.2828659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes11c579.89$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.041952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes63c559.31$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No37c541$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.833256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes21c499.96$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.999336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No35c495.16$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.7413243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes35c482.26$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.586823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes58c461.55$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.775255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes58c461.55$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.775257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes58c461.55$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.771643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes58c458.55$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.022748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes58c454.82$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.855154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes57c444.7$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.424148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x797f…8084backed Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11cc…4817backed Yes43c443.9$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked No69c430.39$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.03580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No35c404.03$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.6213551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa991…62c7backed Yes45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes14c395.9$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.434124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No36c395.81$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.327549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes63c377.15$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.2430055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes57c370.81$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.364355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Yes57c364.06$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.52540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes57c364.06$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.521546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Yes57c364.06$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes57c357.33$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.684553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes57c338.6$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1935246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Yes66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1432…bc7fbacked Yes17c298.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes34c277$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.911855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No56c276.14$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.543253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes30c262$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No56c257.88$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.283850%19 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No35c257.75$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.3314955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6660…2398backed Yes40c250.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No34c243.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.592060%12 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes29c228$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.551952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf955…6614backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ad…b017backed Yes56c219.29$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No40c213.9$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9611940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No56c213.41$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.711850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed No47c212.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.482878.6%22 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+45.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked No35c210$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed No35c210$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No49c205.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.731811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No44c204.55$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.551861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed No52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+170%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f89…e85bbacked No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+207.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Yes37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes64c199.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No37c194.17$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.333574.3%26 W · 9 L+8.1wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+49.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked No53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed No35c185$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.251163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No35c180$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11710448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes61c165.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.993756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Yes43c164.33$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.661020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-66.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes65c163.08$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1065250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No37c162.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.16560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+72.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes64c160$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.47365.8%48 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes61c153.93$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.342657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1045…06c8backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No56c152.73$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.432846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes63c152.02$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7711057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed No71c141.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59ea…ce0bbacked Yes48c139.52$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No37c130$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.94866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed Yes65c126$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.91154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes38c116.97$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0924732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No56c110.47$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.41650%8 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No33c110$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+42.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No56c107.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.533154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes31c106.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.595853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+65%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.