Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x506cf7542db64fbfa185820502be8e0b208120bfb4423243075a65e29b0d2f31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 43c | 586.02$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed No | 58c | 469.05$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 382.56$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.37 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 42c | 380.63$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.86 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 377.15$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.71 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…23d9backed Yes | 44c | 357.83$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 64c | 335.48$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.89 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 327.92$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 40c | 322.73$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.91 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 240.16$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 201.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 61c | 155.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 35c | 143.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 61c | 140.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 139.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 39c | 133.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 37c | 131.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 41c | 124.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 59c | 118.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked No | 57c | 104.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 33c | 100.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 58c | 99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 58c | 99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 27c | 91.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 57c | 87.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 42c | 84.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked No | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…e4afbacked Yes | 64c | 59.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 52.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 34c | 50.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 45.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 40.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 44c | 39.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 38.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 40c | 36.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 66c | 34.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca77…b188backed Yes | 43c | 25.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 57c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…638cbacked Yes | 43c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…da94backed Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Yes | 65c | 18.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8fe3backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will Hannover 96 vs. SV 07 Elversberg end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.