Golf · resolved market
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 3M Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf98aeb6eb3cd560e39cfe895636a48f967e1cb96b20c862a53a6f97aa65942f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Yes | 32c | 12,605$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.19 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 73c | 7,966$5,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.46 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…ad46backed Yes | 25c | 5,918$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.51 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 37c | 4,166$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c17…5e9bbacked No | 71c | 3,675$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Yes | 15c | 3,161$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.62 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,030$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.89 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 76c | 2,845$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.95 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…7b3dbacked No | 63c | 2,674$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1217…8d34backed Yes | 24c | 2,642$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…91bdbacked Yes | 8c | 2,358$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Yes | 17c | 2,028$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…0931backed Yes | 7c | 1,861$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +147.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bb6cbacked No | 69c | 1,834$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.33 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed No | 79c | 1,618$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…53f7backed Yes | 27c | 1,128$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed No | 72c | 1,100$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.79 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 876.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Yes | 23c | 799.39$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 797.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 72c | 767.04$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked No | 64c | 760.64$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 31c | 670.52$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.22 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa11e…5ba7backed Yes | 31c | 619.27$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.55 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 29c | 592.37$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.75 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a93…5310backed No | 63c | 589.64$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 59c | 540.59$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.41 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x121e…c6a6backed Yes | 10c | 502$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 6c | 500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 8c | 489$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 73c | 484.66$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.86 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 67c | 474.78$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0475…ed7abacked Yes | 6c | 392.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Yes | 5c | 374.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 333.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…9811backed Yes | 29c | 302.18$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 81 | 18.5%15 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Yes | 22c | 260.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…fa1dbacked Yes | 41c | 245.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…93b2backed Yes | 18c | 244.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed No | 62c | 241.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -62%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e10…44b7backed Yes | 31c | 212.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Yes | 15c | 205$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efc…4cdebacked No | 65c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 28c | 176.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aee…2fc4backed No | 75c | 175.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 10c | 171$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…3be4backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…c62cbacked Yes | 20c | 102.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe764…071ebacked Yes | 13c | 99.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed No | 71c | 96.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked Yes | 26c | 91.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 72c | 84.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a1…fd37backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…8c77backed Yes | 27c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 27c | 56.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c9…1ef1backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fc…3a06backed No | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2f…5438backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…a6d1backed No | 64c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b48…35d0backed No | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa460…9e09backed No | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fee…2e1abacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…30f7backed No | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 3M Open?this page
- Will Ben Kohles win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Brian Harman win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Casey Jarvis win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Corey Conners win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Davis Thompson win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Emiliano Grillo win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 3M Open?Yes won
- Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Lucas Glover win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Max Homa win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Michael Kim win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Pierceson Coody win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Tom Kim win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Vince Whaley win the 2026 3M Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.