TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Ben Kohles win the 2026 3M Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,414
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,414 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3c32…325bbacked Yes12c7,000$840 inLost-$839.761414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-70.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Yes3c2,916$75 inLost-$757529.3%22 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes24c2,613$638 inLost-$638.06650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2cb…ad46backed Yes12c715.58$88 inLost-$88.07517.8%4 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid+87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes13c421.32$54 inLost-$53.741168.6%10 W · 106 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+133.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes21c328.11$68 inLost-$67.612953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Yes8c271.94$21 inLost-$20.960%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No59c235$139 inWon+$96.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes23c187.76$42 inLost-$42.43425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-56.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9f…65ffbacked Yes21c165.79$35 inLost-$34.65425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No68c150$102 inWon+$484748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No59c144$85 inWon+$58.751163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Yes11c125$14 inLost-$144710.6%5 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bad…4e22backed Yes22c114.16$25 inLost-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes12c93.48$11 inLost-$11.335226.9%14 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe44c…3df4backed Yes17c90.66$15 inLost-$15.14616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-70.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3a…b091backed Yes15c90$14 inLost-$13.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ff…c62cbacked Yes17c89.82$15 inLost-$151612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba63…6271backed Yes17c59.32$10 inLost-$10.145824.1%14 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No35c53$19 inWon+$34.456445.3%29 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed No78c22.12$17 inWon+$4.893348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc5…c64dbacked No59c18$11 inWon+$7.3810268.6%70 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.