Golf · resolved market
Will Tom Kim win the 2026 3M Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4e1f038bda5142f073ad3d7aa311a8eeec49650391bce9fd1933f39a3401de9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 3 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 1c | 1,516$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -62%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…0dc0backed Yes | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tom Kim win the 2026 3M Open?this page
- Will Ben Kohles win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Brian Harman win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Casey Jarvis win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Corey Conners win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Davis Thompson win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Emiliano Grillo win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 3M Open?Yes won
- Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Lucas Glover win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Max Homa win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Michael Kim win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Pierceson Coody win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 3M Open?No won
- Will Vince Whaley win the 2026 3M Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.