Fifa International · resolved market
Norway to score first vs. France?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x981271762154dd2a8c1d172d21eff4bd20b880b4e8f1590b9630a01bea02f6fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35f1…1475backed Yes | 0c | 120,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0e…64f7backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2d…1e58backed Yes | 0c | 9,566$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 32c | 6,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 4,568$3,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.2 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 68c | 3,028$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.7 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 67c | 2,050$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.94 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 28c | 1,596$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.52 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 27c | 1,426$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 26c | 1,100$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 1,024$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.2 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 68c | 999.97$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 23c | 899.19$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.94 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 71c | 844.03$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.07 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 32c | 721.28$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.22 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 69c | 695.21$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.32 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 25c | 595.71$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.45 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a4…6ed6backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 31c | 313.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 69c | 298.26$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 75c | 260.32$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 24c | 212.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 69c | 200.54$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 68c | 199.63$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7315…3b94backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0b…e486backed Yes | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 28c | 173.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…7e65backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…dd03backed Yes | 25c | 155.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1824…8854backed Yes | 32c | 154.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee5…dc0dbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 71c | 144.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 74c | 107.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Yes | 32c | 106.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 32c | 104.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…bde1backed Yes | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2f…5468backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 157 | 8.9%14 W · 143 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e7…d258backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f44…27cabacked Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…a388backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 32c | 74.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…0666backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0950…2380backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 17.4%19 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab2…94b9backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…d38abacked Yes | 32c | 56.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed No | 67c | 55.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…33debacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…86f3backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…abe6backed Yes | 34c | 43.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…8bdabacked Yes | 33c | 43.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945f…4878backed Yes | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…bef8backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed No | 73c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 65c | 20.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 76c | 15.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway to score first vs. France?this page
- France to score first vs. Norway?Yes won
- Norway vs. France: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.