Fifa International · resolved market
France to score first vs. Norway?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9046035c3a95b4fa5427c67548d302f47458560a98765f41e0f852d6f6cd6852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2184…4c8ebacked No | 0c | 81,505$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…f1bdbacked Yes | 73c | 34,182$25,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,072.42 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 27c | 19,568$5,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,336.35 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 26c | 14,550$3,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 30c | 5,489$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.39 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 66c | 4,954$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.34 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 33c | 4,568$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.7 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Yes | 66c | 3,514$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.66 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…d417backed Yes | 72c | 2,686$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 22c | 2,185$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.15 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 35c | 2,061$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.49 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Yes | 78c | 1,911$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.48 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 15c | 1,571$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.44 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 6c | 1,459$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 5c | 1,342$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 6c | 999.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 66c | 922.23$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.99 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 5c | 903.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 5c | 877.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 31c | 844.05$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.15 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 6c | 806.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…c956backed Yes | 67c | 753.87$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…4969backed Yes | 74c | 746.75$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.37 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 33c | 745.42$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.56 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 702.7$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.55 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 34c | 695.21$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.27 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Yes | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…a0d9backed Yes | 70c | 499.99$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 35c | 472.84$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.45 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 33c | 400.96$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.74 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 26c | 351.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 11c | 272.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 19c | 252.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 65c | 181.32$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 63c | 169.92$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…c73fbacked Yes | 72c | 152.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 36c | 149.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e9…ec97backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a4…6ed6backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8113…e019backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 26c | 124.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 13c | 121.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…f121backed Yes | 71c | 119.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9933…dc6cbacked No | 37c | 108.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…51b4backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 29c | 92.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Yes | 64c | 87.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 34c | 80.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 67c | 80.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…e06cbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…aa92backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…54dcbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed No | 33c | 70.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 31c | 54.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e3…b17fbacked Yes | 64c | 53.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…87ddbacked Yes | 66c | 51.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…d63dbacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 31c | 46.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 32c | 45.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fb…e547backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x548e…ba7abacked No | 26c | 41.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 33c | 40.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…6f39backed Yes | 72c | 39.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…3c91backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a9…572fbacked Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 63c | 37.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 33c | 36.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Yes | 72c | 34.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…7b22backed Yes | 62c | 32.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3932…94bebacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…a954backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…1ca6backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…c6a0backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…270abacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -16.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa54…a251backed Yes | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 216 | 54.6%118 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 64c | 29.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf87…90f6backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…f217backed Yes | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…99a0backed Yes | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…d97ebacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7535…6707backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…073abacked Yes | 68c | 20.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Yes | 71c | 20.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…e407backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0513…5219backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…c97fbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France to score first vs. Norway?this page
- Norway to score first vs. France?No won
- Norway vs. France: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.