TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$272,343
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,343 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes27c141,302$37,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,466.62853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c42,356$31,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,930.8891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c27,188$20,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,930.6644952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes3c10,704$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.485621.4%12 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No76c10,383$7,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,518.141662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c10,255$7,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.513,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No75c9,336$7,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.963953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c5,784$4,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.311,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0409754.6%53 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No73c2,665$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.555054%27 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c2,481$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.2831849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No74c2,185$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.046136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5404261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5204369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0a3…e4b7backed Yes25c1,920$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No73c1,918$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.869858.2%57 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No74c1,750$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4554761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes28c1,709$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.4812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-45.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…04fbbacked Yes1c1,649$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No74c1,555$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.4212057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No74c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3908350.6%42 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes7c1,424$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6876941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No75c1,390$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.6214654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No75c1,390$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.6214552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No74c1,013$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.3843344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes16c1,002$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27088048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes4c942.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.76119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No73c924.94$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.731,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes27c920.49$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-48.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d41…8233backed Yes28c905.12$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes26c860.04$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.6118444.6%82 W · 102 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No78c825.79$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.541145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No75c695.4$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.8510956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff70…78abbacked Yes14c667.89$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.952040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No75c537.85$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.46944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc826…fcb3backed No75c516.43$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.111070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes25c508.06$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.021947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1354770.2%33 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1307266.7%48 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13012358.5%72 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1306959.4%41 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Yes25c473.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.51283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.3wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+81.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No74c450$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1177958.2%46 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10420050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045761.4%35 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1046159%36 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Yes25c398.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes26c393.27$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.251414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-57.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes26c385.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.342157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed No74c381.34$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.151080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+100.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes24c375.08$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0211443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbaba…e867backed Yes20c367.91$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.15333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-47%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Yes26c367.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.56520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-64.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f1…1475backed Yes26c367.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5650%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c5b…cc75backed No75c363.79$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.957100%7 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No75c355.76$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.943542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51a4…02d6backed Yes12c341.92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.03633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No75c314.62$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.669056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Yes24c309.21$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.263060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked No72c289.8$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.873847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No75c280$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7011235.7%40 W · 72 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No73c276$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.751,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655759.6%34 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes8c240.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.47328.8%21 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No74c210$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.66555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No74c210$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.66457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5612633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes26c200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c199.8$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5820048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6633…dcfebacked Yes26c193.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No74c185$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.16759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No75c183.29$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.828853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No70c180.73$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.411471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c177.8$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5869448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ecb…2e4fbacked Yes27c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No75c176.53$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.135850%29 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Yes11c172.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.93955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes20c170.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.043125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-59.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes12c160.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.862,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Yes11c157.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.331936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397558.7%44 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcffe…55a6backed Yes26c147.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.22520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed No72c132.46$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.09650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…3203backed No75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.41955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed No76c131.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.461566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed No76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.121560%9 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes11c129.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.23432.4%11 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed No76c123.74$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.71741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Yes26c120.63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.362429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No67c111.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8827644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c7…4e5bbacked Yes12c110.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed No77c109.25$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.551546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2612849.2%63 W · 65 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.