TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Fujian Sturgeons vs. Qingdao Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fujian Sturgeonsof Fujian Sturgeons, Qingdao Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,246 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Fujian Sturgeons48c18,922$9,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,769.7254251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Fujian Sturgeons56c18,707$10,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,294.1913046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Qingdao Eagles46c12,387$5,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,672.5516828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Qingdao Eagles45c10,379$4,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,691.4413235.6%47 W · 85 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf78…7736backed Fujian Sturgeons55c8,775$4,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,913.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Qingdao Eagles41c7,066$2,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,901.263735.1%13 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Qingdao Eagles59c4,390$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.62437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Qingdao Eagles42c3,479$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.445360.4%32 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Qingdao Eagles18c3,042$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.456116.4%10 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Qingdao Eagles45c2,795$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.626844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fujian Sturgeons62c2,596$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.936939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Qingdao Eagles7c1,919$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.748611.6%10 W · 76 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Qingdao Eagles50c1,763$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.412142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Qingdao Eagles49c1,618$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.456940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Qingdao Eagles50c1,499$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.175848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Fujian Sturgeons47c1,484$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Qingdao Eagles35c1,480$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.421010%1 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-86.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Qingdao Eagles43c1,404$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.571163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Qingdao Eagles51c1,313$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.071968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Fujian Sturgeons56c1,150$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.942646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+70.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Fujian Sturgeons40c1,139$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.3714037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fujian Sturgeons45c1,119$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.2143543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Qingdao Eagles57c1,059$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.628943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x843c…126cbacked Qingdao Eagles45c1,043$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78e2…5588backed Fujian Sturgeons74c986.44$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fujian Sturgeons40c957.76$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.0524430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10a…7ee7backed Qingdao Eagles58c887.54$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Qingdao Eagles57c879.04$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.698936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa991…62c7backed Fujian Sturgeons56c872.61$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Qingdao Eagles51c845.4$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.521822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5c4…9a90backed Fujian Sturgeons42c762.51$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Qingdao Eagles54c734.6$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.8834344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Fujian Sturgeons47c717.32$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.743063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Qingdao Eagles57c704.39$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.33520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-69.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Qingdao Eagles46c655.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.88825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-64.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Fujian Sturgeons43c643.07$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.269851%50 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Qingdao Eagles47c632.81$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.589551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Qingdao Eagles44c611.6$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.9570%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Fujian Sturgeons49c597.86$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Qingdao Eagles55c597.37$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e8…f78fbacked Fujian Sturgeons66c587.65$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.067100%7 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb33…fadebacked Fujian Sturgeons65c587.54$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.951376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe99b…140bbacked Fujian Sturgeons64c586.83$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Fujian Sturgeons40c560.13$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.0122231.5%70 W · 152 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Fujian Sturgeons36c507.42$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.198760.9%53 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Qingdao Eagles51c426.9$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.245271.2%37 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Qingdao Eagles28c411.49$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.111435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfe…d2d0backed Qingdao Eagles12c406.61$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Fujian Sturgeons47c401.83$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.134660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Qingdao Eagles47c374.09$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.661428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Qingdao Eagles47c360.72$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0931651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Qingdao Eagles65c311.68$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.599946.5%46 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Qingdao Eagles57c308.89$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.334920.4%10 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7302…4fedbacked Fujian Sturgeons55c291.54$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…8137backed Fujian Sturgeons52c291.44$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.661952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Qingdao Eagles67c289.85$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.22152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Qingdao Eagles73c287.46$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Qingdao Eagles48c275.18$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.212236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Qingdao Eagles54c260.56$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.54344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Qingdao Eagles57c252.9$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0650%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked Qingdao Eagles48c239.85$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.222231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-48.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Qingdao Eagles42c235.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.74734%16 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-49.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Qingdao Eagles48c230.92$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.672634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-44%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Qingdao Eagles44c228$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.472955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Qingdao Eagles54c227.39$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2926544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf84…d933backed Qingdao Eagles5c214.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Fujian Sturgeons48c209.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.82728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Qingdao Eagles47c208.36$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5910736.4%39 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf2d…1100backed Fujian Sturgeons47c206.14$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.262540%10 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Fujian Sturgeons48c200.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.932450%12 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Fujian Sturgeons49c197.17$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.445959.3%35 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Fujian Sturgeons74c196.93$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7605…e225backed Fujian Sturgeons65c195.77$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked Fujian Sturgeons35c191.93$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.751241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Qingdao Eagles41c186$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2410947.7%52 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Qingdao Eagles49c180.78$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.021323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-62.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Qingdao Eagles57c171.41$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.41977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+88.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Fujian Sturgeons48c167$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+51.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff19…19c0backed Fujian Sturgeons57c165.1$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaba…4262backed Qingdao Eagles27c160$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Qingdao Eagles56c158.03$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Fujian Sturgeons43c157.14$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.255446.3%25 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed Fujian Sturgeons50c147.68$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.03616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-66.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe73d…cbf8backed Fujian Sturgeons60c147.34$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.49977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick48cpaid+81.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x53fc…76d7backed Fujian Sturgeons47c137.48$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.871275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Fujian Sturgeons32c135.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.065628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Qingdao Eagles40c135.29$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.564643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x141d…7ea0backed Qingdao Eagles38c119.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Fujian Sturgeons59c117.84$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.62147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Fujian Sturgeons54c115.32$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.026470.3%45 W · 19 L+11.5wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Qingdao Eagles54c114.69$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-52.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Qingdao Eagles29c111.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1820936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bf…81c2backed Qingdao Eagles25c110.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Qingdao Eagles48c106.39$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.225517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x30f1…e639backed Fujian Sturgeons60c106.25$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.851566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c5a…d48abacked Fujian Sturgeons51c104.02$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Fujian Sturgeons57c103.95$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Fujian Sturgeons52c102.46$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.292259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Fujian Sturgeons44c101.05$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.95238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x758e…ad1cbacked Qingdao Eagles52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.