MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cb93f6ea6b254bb62f2318f58bf178cb30d5c89df9e8a550829b29e63245e13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $860,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $860,724 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed New York Yankees | 53c | 422,358$223,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198,569.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 240,000$112,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,800 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 76,596$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,000.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 44,567$20,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,946.43 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 37,220$14,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,509.66 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 31,207$16,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,583.81 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 28,872$13,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,286.64 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 24,860$9,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,774.76 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed New York Yankees | 54c | 19,765$10,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,091.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 17,890$8,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,408.22 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 12,336$6,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,797.79 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 12,000$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 11,622$5,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,346 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 10,563$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed New York Yankees | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.97 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed New York Yankees | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.25 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 8,468$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,895.27 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked San Francisco Giants | 32c | 7,652$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.15 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf398…a9b1backed New York Yankees | 53c | 7,546$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 7,527$3,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.53 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…8e9dbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 7,462$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 7,000$3,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 6,529$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed San Francisco Giants | 25c | 6,447$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked New York Yankees | 53c | 6,397$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.67 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed New York Yankees | 75c | 5,929$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.9 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed New York Yankees | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed New York Yankees | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.84 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 4,536$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.27 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed New York Yankees | 53c | 4,499$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.53 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec9…02f6backed New York Yankees | 53c | 4,260$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed New York Yankees | 66c | 3,530$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.29 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 2,985$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.12 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Francisco Giants | 4c | 2,934$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed New York Yankees | 53c | 2,520$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.39 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 2,313$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.11 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 2,306$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed New York Yankees | 53c | 2,002$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.45 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed New York Yankees | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed New York Yankees | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 1,890$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.4 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…077cbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,829$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.48 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 1,634$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.41 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed New York Yankees | 54c | 1,622$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.06 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,584$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,466$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked San Francisco Giants | 7c | 1,463$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 1,393$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.22 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,370$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.1 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,317$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.17 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed New York Yankees | 53c | 1,310$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.88 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 1,245$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.31 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 1,226$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.1 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,222$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.33 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c93…f0f6backed New York Yankees | 54c | 1,158$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed New York Yankees | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.85 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed New York Yankees | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.74 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,021$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Francisco Giants | 9c | 1,005$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…035cbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 943.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 921.51$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.11 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 802.74$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed New York Yankees | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked New York Yankees | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…693cbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…382dbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…5dc1backed San Francisco Giants | 17c | 798.28$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 71c | 791.96$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 791.67$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e3…5ce8backed New York Yankees | 53c | 780$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 756$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.76 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 53c | 725.41$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.66 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce52…a1b3backed New York Yankees | 52c | 700$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 699.99$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…dbcebacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 680$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed New York Yankees | 53c | 633.92$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.89 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked San Francisco Giants | 18c | 625$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x701d…57f9backed New York Yankees | 54c | 624.07$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed New York Yankees | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed New York Yankees | 72c | 584.97$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.88 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked New York Yankees | 54c | 559.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.05 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed New York Yankees | 69c | 550.69$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.38 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed New York Yankees | 53c | 550.05$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.46 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed San Francisco Giants | 9c | 549.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 503.67$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.69 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 502.11$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.74 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 501$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked San Francisco Giants | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- NRFI: New York Yankees vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
- New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.