MLB · resolved market
NRFI: New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4273b2e54519ab08932dd8a658e3945a795971e06b4dbdd3d616289d2fba9320
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,707 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 41c | 42,051$17,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,170.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 59c | 23,872$14,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,788.13 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 59c | 13,998$8,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,679.05 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed No | 54c | 9,297$5,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050.81 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 45c | 8,925$4,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.69 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 48c | 7,119$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.22 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 71c | 3,833$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.01 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Yes | 71c | 3,172$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed No | 58c | 3,167$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.79 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 52c | 2,615$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.2 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked No | 47c | 2,046$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.7 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6732…d7f0backed Yes | 53c | 1,700$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.51 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 41c | 1,647$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.39 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Yes | 50c | 1,432$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.67 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Yes | 60c | 1,389$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.09 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked No | 40c | 1,323$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.6 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 59c | 1,222$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.96 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed No | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Yes | 10c | 800$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 17c | 795.9$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.86 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked No | 55c | 708.36$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.2 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 44c | 697.75$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.28 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 59c | 676$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.16 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed No | 46c | 654.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed No | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Yes | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 51c | 539.29$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.68 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked No | 42c | 530.72$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…b34ebacked No | 43c | 524.4$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked No | 7c | 500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Yes | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…593ebacked Yes | 8c | 493.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +201.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 51c | 459.13$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.19 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Yes | 12c | 415$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Yes | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed No | 41c | 366.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…d7f7backed No | 44c | 336.52$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Yes | 50c | 318.87$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.24 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +597.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9309…c705backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed No | 42c | 298$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.16 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 56c | 295$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 60c | 265$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1590…e9c7backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed No | 43c | 232.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 45c | 221.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Yes | 16c | 200$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Yes | 60c | 175$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 40c | 168.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 40c | 155.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked No | 43c | 153.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed No | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed No | 41c | 129.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked No | 40c | 123$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 41c | 115.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked No | 41c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 62c | 77.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked No | 42c | 67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556f…6811backed Yes | 60c | 66.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 42c | 65.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…82c9backed No | 41c | 63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -7.8wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed No | 40c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 45c | 62.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed No | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…4fd0backed Yes | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Yes | 62c | 57.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed No | 42c | 57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…a2c2backed No | 40c | 52.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…eed0backed No | 41c | 47.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed No | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 767 | 52.3%401 W · 366 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked No | 42c | 43.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 43c | 42.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…94d0backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1f…2d66backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Yes | 60c | 33.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 70c | 29.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed No | 44c | 28.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked No | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 457 | 49%224 W · 233 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed No | 40c | 25.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0201…fcedbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 44c | 25.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…1838backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 61c | 22.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394ebacked Yes | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NRFI: New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- New York Yankees vs. San Francisco GiantsNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.