MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4fa9623b25ed1cbbe195a1aa871686586f68afa89d16413ef98322c7b4a3509

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, San Francisco Giants
Resolved: Mar 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $53,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,150 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0e4a…311cbacked New York Yankees	38c	10,520$3,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,522.39	122	47.5%58 W · 64 L	-7.5wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked San Francisco Giants	62c	8,018$4,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,967.2	1,041	50.1%522 W · 519 L	+17.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed San Francisco Giants	0c	7,488$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.45	392	9.4%37 W · 355 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Yankees	38c	5,613$2,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,503.05	672	50.1%337 W · 335 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked San Francisco Giants	63c	3,195$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed New York Yankees	64c	3,082$1,987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,095.2	155	50.3%78 W · 77 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked San Francisco Giants	62c	3,034$1,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,880.98	1,151	49.2%566 W · 585 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed San Francisco Giants	61c	2,716$1,657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,656.88	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+6.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+20%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed New York Yankees	38c	2,265$861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,404.56	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed San Francisco Giants	62c	2,126$1,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,315.04	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked New York Yankees	39c	2,000$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,220	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed San Francisco Giants	35c	1,616$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.33	72	56.9%41 W · 31 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees	58c	1,494$866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$628.4	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed San Francisco Giants	62c	1,480$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.62	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed San Francisco Giants	35c	1,372$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.91	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked New York Yankees	38c	1,292$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801.01	260	56.5%147 W · 113 L	+13.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed San Francisco Giants	32c	1,057$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.84	230	36.1%83 W · 147 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked San Francisco Giants	62c	860$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.2	114	54.4%62 W · 52 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked San Francisco Giants	63c	822$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.86	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked San Francisco Giants	62c	806.45$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed New York Yankees	38c	752.16$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.44	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	-6.6wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed San Francisco Giants	62c	716.13$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked San Francisco Giants	61c	570.91$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.8	191	43.5%83 W · 108 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked New York Yankees	39c	533.33$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.33	507	51.7%262 W · 245 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed New York Yankees	39c	512.82$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.82	293	44.7%131 W · 162 L	+13.0wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed New York Yankees	38c	500$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants	61c	500$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked New York Yankees	39c	464.1$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.1	411	52.3%215 W · 196 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d82…e16abacked San Francisco Giants	62c	427.42$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.36per pick	61cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked San Francisco Giants	62c	403.23$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	283	47.3%134 W · 149 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked San Francisco Giants	61c	391.79$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.44	465	47.1%219 W · 246 L	+5.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked San Francisco Giants	34c	383.27$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.16	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed San Francisco Giants	59c	382.05$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.41	125	52%65 W · 60 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked New York Yankees	38c	276.3$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170	323	48.9%158 W · 165 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc186…ad81backed New York Yankees	39c	254.39$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.18	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed New York Yankees	39c	250$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.5	201	38.8%78 W · 123 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa928…bbaabacked New York Yankees	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed New York Yankees	41c	246.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.44	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees	41c	242.89$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.34	128	45.3%58 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked New York Yankees	39c	230.18$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.41	111	53.2%59 W · 52 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed New York Yankees	41c	222.07$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.07	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb551…8043backed New York Yankees	38c	210.53$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.53	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe4…5504backed New York Yankees	39c	208.28$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.05	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.61per pick	39cpaid	+156.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed New York Yankees	39c	205.13$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.13	443	48.5%215 W · 228 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked New York Yankees	39c	204.77$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.91	384	55.2%212 W · 172 L	+9.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed San Francisco Giants	61c	200$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	62cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed San Francisco Giants	62c	200$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	225	48.4%109 W · 116 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked San Francisco Giants	33c	186$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.46	477	45.7%218 W · 259 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed San Francisco Giants	35c	122$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.7	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+54.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed San Francisco Giants	35c	109.97$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.33	422	41%173 W · 249 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked San Francisco Giants	61c	102.56$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.56	198	48.5%96 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked New York Yankees	39c	100$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61	341	45.2%154 W · 187 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed New York Yankees	38c	99.93$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.96	98	51%50 W · 48 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed San Francisco Giants	62c	80.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	180	48.3%87 W · 93 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed San Francisco Giants	34c	78.97$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.68	300	48%144 W · 156 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…ab3dbacked New York Yankees	39c	75$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.75	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked San Francisco Giants	61c	75$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.75	114	56.1%64 W · 50 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed New York Yankees	40c	71$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.6	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked San Francisco Giants	62c	70$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.4	225	54.7%123 W · 102 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed San Francisco Giants	62c	66.05$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.95	116	58.6%68 W · 48 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed San Francisco Giants	61c	63.59$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.79	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked San Francisco Giants	62c	63.2$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.18	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed New York Yankees	39c	61$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.21	767	52.3%401 W · 366 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed New York Yankees	39c	61$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.21	293	52.9%155 W · 138 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked New York Yankees	39c	59.24$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.14	140	50.7%71 W · 69 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb49…21b1backed New York Yankees	40c	51.98$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.19	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d5…a33bbacked New York Yankees	38c	50$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe725…2b00backed New York Yankees	34c	47.72$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.45	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked San Francisco Giants	53c	40.45$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed San Francisco Giants	63c	37.2$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	569	46.9%267 W · 302 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed San Francisco Giants	30c	33.35$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.17	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed New York Yankees	35c	33$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.41	103	54.4%56 W · 47 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed San Francisco Giants	32c	32.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	455	50.3%229 W · 226 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed New York Yankees	39c	32$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.52	178	52.8%94 W · 84 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfba…9774backed San Francisco Giants	35c	31.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.05	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5aa…35c6backed New York Yankees	39c	31.26$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.07	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+69.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Yankees	39c	30.6$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.82	1,911	53.1%1,014 W · 897 L	+43.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95fc…10f6backed San Francisco Giants	64c	28.87$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.48	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed San Francisco Giants	39c	28.25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.99	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b6…4587backed New York Yankees	73c	20.64$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.65	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6af…532dbacked New York Yankees	56c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4625…f7f6backed New York Yankees	58c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.22per pick	50cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed San Francisco Giants	63c	19$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	267	51.7%138 W · 129 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed New York Yankees	66c	17.64$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.92	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
NRFI: New York Yankees vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco GiantsNew York Yankees won
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event