MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b04354de793dd81a156fe38bd769807f050fb447708a58bd5e958ed49ad5267
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,135 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Under | 56c | 26,329$14,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,584.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 43c | 6,893$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.29 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 45c | 4,874$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.52 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 56c | 4,444$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.36 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 51c | 3,480$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.58 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 62c | 3,205$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.15 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Over | 45c | 2,725$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.34 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…d226backed Over | 45c | 2,608$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Under | 55c | 2,491$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.91 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Under | 58c | 2,414$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.79 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 2,181$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.01 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…9c35backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.9 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 1,824$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.49 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 40c | 1,264$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.89 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 44c | 1,193$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.22 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 26c | 1,154$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.17 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe940…ce19backed Over | 44c | 1,066$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…538bbacked Under | 56c | 1,066$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over | 59c | 1,000$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.37 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Under | 55c | 982$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.28 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 879.57$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.17 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 44c | 758.97$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.95 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 46c | 705.99$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.65 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 54c | 649.18$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.62 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…992ebacked Under | 55c | 607.97$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 54c | 554.58$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.11 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Under | 27c | 552.02$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.53 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 55c | 540$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Under | 55c | 494.05$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.32 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Over | 42c | 480$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 51c | 479$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.82 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Over | 44c | 455$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Under | 34c | 431.89$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.89 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Under | 16c | 250$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 60c | 247.65$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.27 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Under | 35c | 230.11$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.58 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…9774backed Under | 39c | 223.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0266…5febbacked Under | 56c | 217.41$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Over | 44c | 215.07$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Under | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 55c | 197.64$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 55c | 190.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 67c | 183.88$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 65c | 183.68$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 55c | 181.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 178$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 57c | 175.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 56c | 170$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 55c | 163.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 57c | 163.16$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 142.79$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 44c | 129.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 38c | 119.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 49c | 118.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 43c | 111.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…d2d1backed Over | 46c | 111.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 72c | 105.96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 44c | 94.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 54c | 94.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 72c | 89.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 37c | 86.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 74c | 81.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under | 36c | 79.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…93b1backed Under | 53c | 75.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 46c | 73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Under | 56c | 70.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Under | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 64c | 62.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6f…e0d7backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…a1e4backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 75c | 53.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Over | 45c | 52.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4e…8ba5backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8d…8a4fbacked Under | 57c | 52.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 55c | 50.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 52c | 49.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…62d8backed Over | 45c | 49.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 37c | 46.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 47c | 45.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9c…eb8dbacked Under | 57c | 45.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…631cbacked Under | 58c | 44.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…9199backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5this page
- NRFI: New York Yankees vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
- New York Yankees vs. San Francisco GiantsNew York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.