TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5061…a7dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT8348.2%40 W · 43 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.21
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.95
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.15
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.65
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.28
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.75
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.51
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.31
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.42
Houston Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.57
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.6
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$35.94
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.6
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Flames vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.