MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x244cc527aab1ba0627dd249db08b532a28cb7c11ca537a91b95584afdeb6b7cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 16,891$9,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,746.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 10,714$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.78 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 9,916$5,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,553.1 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 7,934$4,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792.28 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 6,872$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.59 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 6,657$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185.52 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Padres | 73c | 5,768$4,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.27 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 5,544$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.7 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 7c | 4,751$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.41 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 4,535$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.1 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 4,502$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.85 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 4,362$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.38 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 4,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.98 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked San Diego Padres | 76c | 3,887$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.85 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 3,670$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.6 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 3,631$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.11 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 3,165$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 2,960$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.63 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 2,878$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.51 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 2,850$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.58 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 2,716$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.15 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 2,670$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.5 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 2,616$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.38 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 2,556$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.7 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 2,400$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 2,319$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.61 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 2,218$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.26 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 2,055$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.44 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,959$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.76 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,907$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.78 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 3c | 1,740$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 23c | 1,703$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.56 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,650$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,532$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.13 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,393$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.93 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 1,178$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e1…a9cfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 1,169$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,056$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.74 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,056$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.74 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,042$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.72 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 861.13$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.15 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.1 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 850.06$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.04 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 839.44$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.75 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 804.78$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.53 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 798.84$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 780.65$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…811ebacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 698.67$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 693.89$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.7 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed San Diego Padres | 72c | 626.65$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.9 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 622.67$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.29 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 579.49$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.83 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f1…450cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 571.33$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 560.51$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.89 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 549.09$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.49 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 543.27$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.97 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 524.42$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.08 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 509.89$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.32 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked San Diego Padres | 65c | 506.07$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.96 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c2…7291backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 7c | 504.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f05…d802backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 481.45$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 427.28$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 408.53$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.67 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 404.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.85 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 400.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.55 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 13c | 379.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 350.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.91 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 20c | 344$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…9c3abacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 322.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 319.44$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 304.55$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 300.05$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 298.32$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.54 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 286.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.71 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked San Diego Padres | 65c | 279.33$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 272.3$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.82 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked San Diego Padres | 65c | 257.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 254$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 249.25$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.57 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 244.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 29c | 238.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 233.57$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked San Diego Padres | 76c | 231.4$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 224.18$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 223.44$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 222.19$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 221.51$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.05 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 195.33$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…d091backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 193.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked San Diego Padres | 65c | 189.13$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.