MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41d03fa76a327369a1816105f9de40454e3e3026c28c37d02daba5e8ea464b51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,216,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,779,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,216,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Under | 52c | 563,306$293,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270,152.92 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,000 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,000 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Over | 47c | 92,432$43,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,867.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 40,812$19,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,393.98 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 40,200$19,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,295.4 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 48c | 25,350$12,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,168 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 25,175$12,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,085.04 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over | 49c | 24,200$11,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,816 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 20,845$9,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,944.73 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 49c | 16,674$8,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,170.29 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Over | 49c | 14,750$7,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,227.41 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 14,523$6,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,762.24 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 49c | 9,549$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,678.81 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 47c | 6,118$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.03 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Over | 47c | 5,744$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 50c | 5,265$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.66 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Over | 48c | 5,077$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.02 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 4,690$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.03 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 4,662$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.17 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 4,325$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.02 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Over | 48c | 3,757$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.93 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.99 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Over | 50c | 2,910$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 2,856$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.2 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 49c | 1,980$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.39 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.16 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 1,540$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.75 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Over | 49c | 1,433$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…383ebacked Over | 48c | 1,419$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 48c | 1,046$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.31 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 1,027$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.81 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d88…1695backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…8f0bbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 50c | 974.11$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.75 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Over | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Under | 51c | 779.06$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.95 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 70c | 699.85$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 52c | 607.97$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.91 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 49c | 566.84$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.25 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 513.93$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.4 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Over | 51c | 506.23$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.18 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 52c | 435.34$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.2 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 395.52$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Over | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 48c | 355.15$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Over | 48c | 310.07$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.83 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over | 50c | 301$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 48c | 294$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 52c | 273.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 52c | 273.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 52c | 273.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 52c | 273.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 51c | 272$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.28 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 48c | 242.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…d48abacked Over | 50c | 233.58$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 59c | 230.73$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 52c | 230.02$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 46c | 229$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.67 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 48c | 219.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 49c | 214.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.59 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Over | 50c | 212.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 49c | 196.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Over | 10c | 194.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 25c | 174.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 49c | 173.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 48c | 170.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Over | 49c | 169.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 50c | 159.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…8b81backed Over | 50c | 154.64$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 49c | 154.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 140.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 49c | 139.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 49c | 139.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 49c | 139.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 49c | 139.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 49c | 139.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 49c | 137.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 52c | 136.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 50c | 135.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 134.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 134.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 52c | 134.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh PiratesSan Diego Padres won
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.