Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c87c715ce95aff3b04a9d51df485cd6eba6c1917465ce4480c09d0d97fbb681
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Herbertof Vukic, Herbert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Vukic | 36c | 8,379$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vukic | 0c | 7,365$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Herbert | 69c | 5,954$4,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.71 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Herbert | 76c | 4,887$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.52 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Vukic | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Herbert | 39c | 978.25$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.67 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Vukic | 34c | 919$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.85 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Vukic | 36c | 777$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.94 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Vukic | 65c | 750$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Vukic | 33c | 637$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.8 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Vukic | 65c | 616.17$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Herbert | 59c | 495.81$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.66 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Herbert | 57c | 464.22$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.05 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745c…15fcbacked Vukic | 65c | 369.5$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Vukic | 34c | 340$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Vukic | 44c | 264.21$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.05 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Herbert | 35c | 249.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.49 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Herbert | 62c | 229.25$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Herbert | 64c | 168.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Vukic | 53c | 163.15$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Vukic | 46c | 153.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Vukic | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Vukic | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Herbert | 63c | 138.07$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Herbert | 37c | 102$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Herbert | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Herbert | 76c | 83.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Vukic | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf77…d66dbacked Vukic | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Herbert | 64c | 74.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Vukic | 33c | 60.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Vukic | 40c | 50.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Herbert | 70c | 49.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Vukic | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Vukic | 46c | 38.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Herbert | 38c | 37.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Vukic | 67c | 32.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Vukic | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Vukic | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…2cf7backed Herbert | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Herbert | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Herbert | 36c | 28.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Vukic | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Herbert | 70c | 19.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.