WNBA · resolved market

Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 149.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49a387ea56c57e6641a1a16ceb1ecbcecd9a14dadd46eeaf9c5ac90fd72df6b5

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $85,455
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $85,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,455 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in WNBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x633e…d305backed Over	55c	63,716$35,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,238.06	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	46c	18,030$8,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,792.4	1,765	51.7%912 W · 853 L	+53.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under	45c	13,109$5,862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,247.14	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+5.8wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+24%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	46c	7,800$3,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,210.54	995	48.1%479 W · 516 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	44c	7,078$3,107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,971.11	462	47%217 W · 245 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under	46c	4,000$1,830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,170	112	50%56 W · 56 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1ed…25bebacked Over	47c	3,193$1,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500.5	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Under	44c	2,830$1,236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,593.59	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	44c	2,494$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,394.05	893	49.4%441 W · 452 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	44c	2,004$889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,114.48	922	48.8%450 W · 472 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Under	46c	1,536$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$836.23	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+119.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	53c	1,273$675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598.31	411	45.7%188 W · 223 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under	47c	1,100$522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$578	58	31%18 W · 40 L	-7.5wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Over	47c	971.09$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.2	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Under	45c	779.91$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.71	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.2wins	+0.31per pick	55cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over	45c	661.28$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.7	851	58.4%497 W · 354 L	+70.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	45c	559.13$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.23	785	48.8%383 W · 402 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	44c	547.64$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.53	179	46.9%84 W · 95 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over	30c	538.21$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.69	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under	49c	477.5$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.54	224	46%103 W · 121 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Under	45c	466.67$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.67	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+122.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	45c	361.15$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.2	179	46.4%83 W · 96 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Under	44c	336.76$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.41	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under	45c	331.87$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.93	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	45c	329.4$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.82	386	45.9%177 W · 209 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	63c	323.31$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.91	1,611	50.2%809 W · 802 L	+37.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over	47c	319.14$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-8.2wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	35c	302.08$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.76	552	55.1%304 W · 248 L	+25.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under	58c	288.71$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.34	132	56.8%75 W · 57 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed Over	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa23b…b787backed Under	45c	268.11$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Under	54c	259.26$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.26	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under	46c	250$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	96	50%48 W · 48 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	48c	249.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.09	327	50.2%164 W · 163 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under	53c	241$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.27	58	62.1%36 W · 22 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22cc…a707backed Under	45c	232.36$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	44c	200$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	399	47.1%188 W · 211 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	47c	196.8$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.5	237	46.4%110 W · 127 L	-10.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	29c	191.58$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.14	749	42.3%317 W · 432 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	44c	179.77$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.43	610	42.5%259 W · 351 L	-31.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Over	48c	177.08$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.76	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under	52c	173$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.88	164	50%82 W · 82 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	54c	169.05$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.76	712	45.4%323 W · 389 L	-19.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	54c	157.18$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.97	281	40.6%114 W · 167 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over	48c	150$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	285	58.6%167 W · 118 L	+20.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	51c	140$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.4	284	47.9%136 W · 148 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe53c…e569backed Under	44c	120.61$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.54	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under	47c	116.29$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.77	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+52%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	49c	103.82$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.68	615	47%289 W · 326 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb069…498cbacked Under	45c	90.29$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.66	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+133.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01ee…fc4bbacked Over	47c	86.51$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.66	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8b…da36backed Under	30c	80.92$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.74	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under	44c	80$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.8	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x762a…ed42backed Under	52c	76$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.86	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under	46c	75.22$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.62	102	44.1%45 W · 57 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under	48c	72.15$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.65	329	48.6%160 W · 169 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under	45c	66.67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.67	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0811…1870backed Over	48c	62.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd913…2cf7backed Under	44c	60.39$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.82	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	42cpaid	+53.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc91…fcabbacked Under	57c	60$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-4.1wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd03…60fbbacked Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under	41c	59.95$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.28	126	50.8%64 W · 62 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed Under	47c	56.31$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.09	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.20per pick	65cpaid	+25%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under	47c	52.31$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.56	144	50%72 W · 72 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa293…0630backed Over	47c	49.51$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd3…0e24backed Under	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-4.0wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Under	44c	45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	61	75.4%46 W · 15 L	+10.3wins	+0.17per pick	59cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under	53c	44.51$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.92	426	49.3%210 W · 216 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Under	45c	44.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over	53c	42.92$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.85	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	31c	41.6$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	509	52.5%267 W · 242 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Under	44c	41$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.96	154	51.9%80 W · 74 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	45c	40.01$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.95	159	38.4%61 W · 98 L	-16.5wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	53c	35.92$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.88	641	52%333 W · 308 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under	59c	35.35$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.57	33	72.7%24 W · 9 L	+4.9wins	+0.15per pick	58cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Under	69c	33.15$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.15	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x352b…abd8backed Under	49c	33$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.83	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-6.0wins	-0.18per pick	44cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe692…13a8backed Under	49c	32$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.32	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Under	40c	31.39$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.95	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd8…e4d5backed Over	42c	31.11$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.01	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked Under	53c	30.83$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.46	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over	47c	29.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	171	43.9%75 W · 96 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Under	49c	29.41$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cdb…4cc2backed Under	49c	27.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.27	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Under	46c	26.39$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.29	131	38.9%51 W · 80 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Under	49c	24.48$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.48	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc015…0a39backed Under	64c	21.23$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.64	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e0…1d15backed Over	72c	15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.9wins	-0.48per pick	73cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 149.5this page
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)Washington Mystics won
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)Washington Mystics won
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 145.5Under won
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 146.5Under won
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 147.5Under won
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 148.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 149.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event