WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fe3989a70ac13653f00f79d37e2c908db0ee58fb46a308092dba64ab897284f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Golden State Valkyries, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.97 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 9,742$4,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,163.14 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 6,034$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.33 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 5,694$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.1 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 4,100$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 3,725$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.95 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 2,073$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.54 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.13 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 1,590$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 1,382$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.64 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 1,336$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 1,252$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.41 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e5…9105backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 677.94$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.09 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 590.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.66 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 582.47$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 577.14$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.57 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 506.76$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.73 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 502.53$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.34 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 384$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 340.23$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.34 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 269.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.93 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 267$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.51 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 261$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.62 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 259.1$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 230$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 228.36$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 168.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Mystics | 44c | 156.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x043d…bec2backed Golden State Valkyries | 44c | 114.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 114.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 109.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…5652backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 91.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 89.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 72.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 71.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Golden State Valkyries | 41c | 69.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 61.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 60.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…409ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 49.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 46.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…fc3abacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 45.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 43.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 40.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 34.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 33.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…1949backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 27.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Washington Mystics | 76c | 26.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)this page
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 145.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 146.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 147.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 148.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 149.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.