WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc160a9ff646a93be08030535ec74cd090601dd44b72c9529a864514382b5d07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 20,860$12,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,072.4 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 41c | 7,500$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,425 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 43c | 5,558$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.17 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 43c | 2,498$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.64 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 42c | 770.05$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.59 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 539.15$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.41 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 43c | 480$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 48c | 366.84$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.97 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 44c | 236.36$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.36 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 210.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.23 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 37c | 193$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.35 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 57c | 192.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.15 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 43c | 189.43$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.93 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 41c | 145.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 44c | 122.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 42c | 105.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 77c | 97.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 41c | 91.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 40c | 88.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 24c | 88.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 81.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 45c | 79.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 42c | 78.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 47c | 74.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Over | 56c | 72.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 55c | 72.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 51c | 58.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 43c | 57.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 56.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 52c | 50.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 56c | 49.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 48c | 46.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 65c | 43.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 71c | 41.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 45c | 39.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 36.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Over | 55c | 34.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 45c | 33.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 50c | 32.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Under | 52c | 28.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 52c | 28.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Under | 48c | 28.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Under | 52c | 27.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 23.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 56c | 20.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 146.5this page
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 145.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 147.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 148.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 149.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.