WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb295b4b2c64c4746e29e945fd1e41132a3f1c9434942c169a6d3f28d6fd9b893
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 3,835$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.79 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 51c | 3,075$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.92 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 51c | 1,964$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,759$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.95 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 51c | 1,104$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.98 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…edacbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 949.26$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.17 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Over | 52c | 667.36$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 49c | 651.97$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.9 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 50c | 597.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 559$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 410 | 51.2%210 W · 200 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Under | 54c | 556.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.61 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 52c | 527.79$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.53 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over | 46c | 499.61$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.82 | 161 | 41%66 W · 95 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Over | 48c | 472.77$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 67c | 418.72$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.47 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 49c | 324.49$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 46c | 289.06$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa23b…b787backed Over | 49c | 273.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 259.29$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.61 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 211.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 49c | 195.93$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 54c | 192$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 13c | 154.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 48c | 149.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 43c | 128$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Over | 49c | 120.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 51c | 117.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 49c | 117.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 110.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 38c | 98.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 55c | 80.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 321 | 48.6%156 W · 165 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 52c | 74.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 56c | 74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 50c | 59.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…c5d4backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Over | 47c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Over | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 56c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 29c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 348 | 26.4%92 W · 256 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 51c | 40.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Under | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 51c | 20.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 20.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 148.5this page
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 145.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 146.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 147.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 149.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.