TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden State Valkyriesof Washington Mystics, Golden State Valkyries
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafe4…f3f7backed Washington Mystics22c12,922$2,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.2827449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Washington Mystics24c10,450$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Golden State Valkyries77c10,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.998159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Golden State Valkyries60c9,167$5,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,648.0336750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Washington Mystics37c8,086$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.3650646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Golden State Valkyries72c7,947$5,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.5534726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Golden State Valkyries71c7,332$5,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.197259.7%43 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries77c5,000$3,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17083748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Mystics32c4,877$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.8578548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9410…ffcdbacked Washington Mystics25c4,504$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.03425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Golden State Valkyries76c3,848$2,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.3840550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed Golden State Valkyries78c3,798$2,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.49850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Washington Mystics23c3,584$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.321947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Washington Mystics23c3,250$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.523931.8%76 W · 163 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries66c3,101$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.61,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Mystics50c2,888$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.3419458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Golden State Valkyries66c2,382$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.12642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Washington Mystics49c2,274$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.5813844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Washington Mystics46c2,268$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.6474942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Washington Mystics42c2,157$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Washington Mystics3c2,129$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.589036.7%33 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Golden State Valkyries61c1,878$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72410634.9%37 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd3…e427backed Golden State Valkyries78c1,663$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Golden State Valkyries78c1,513$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.82785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Washington Mystics34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5104020%8 W · 32 L-10.5wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Golden State Valkyries75c1,377$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.310340.8%42 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Golden State Valkyries55c1,376$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.1519031.1%59 W · 131 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Golden State Valkyries75c1,376$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.3550952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Mystics43c1,349$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.1330347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Golden State Valkyries62c1,266$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.678551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Golden State Valkyries53c1,240$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.2219428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Washington Mystics8c1,238$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.56742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2203…84e6backed Washington Mystics24c1,143$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.39185.6%1 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick20cpaid-77.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Washington Mystics1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Washington Mystics22c998.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.788733.3%29 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Golden State Valkyries60c967.49$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.4216633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Washington Mystics38c905.83$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.6831448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Golden State Valkyries77c899.98$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.9917946.4%83 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc02d…92c1backed Washington Mystics24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Mystics41c800$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.53040%12 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Golden State Valkyries78c716.08$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.542065%13 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Golden State Valkyries55c711.46$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.8910538.1%40 W · 65 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Washington Mystics13c699.98$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939318.3%17 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf21…7e3dbacked Golden State Valkyries67c674.53$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.533647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed Washington Mystics59c643.31$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.171926.3%5 W · 14 L-5.7wins-0.30per pick56cpaid-59.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Washington Mystics28c619.52$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3785158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Washington Mystics37c612.82$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1820340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed Golden State Valkyries76c601.5$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.773740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Golden State Valkyries52c580$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.689938.4%38 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Washington Mystics24c549.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13213024.6%32 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Washington Mystics36c534.67$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.481080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+43.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Golden State Valkyries78c523$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0624347.7%116 W · 127 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3c…d6c2backed Washington Mystics23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39c2…dc0bbacked Golden State Valkyries41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29d9…724ebacked Washington Mystics22c459.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.191421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Golden State Valkyries44c454.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.831838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Golden State Valkyries45c445.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.632268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Mystics25c445.04$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2614942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Mystics29c444.61$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6326147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Golden State Valkyries74c432.15$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9615048%72 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Golden State Valkyries75c431.14$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2915654.5%85 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Golden State Valkyries62c425.88$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0715250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Golden State Valkyries42c400$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2347643.4%33 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac1…d5a6backed Golden State Valkyries68c399.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1288657%49 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Golden State Valkyries76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7419446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Golden State Valkyries74c369.48$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5515741.4%65 W · 92 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Mystics53c354.9$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7389349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Washington Mystics23c304.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Golden State Valkyries41c303$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.777740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden State Valkyries63c280$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5931847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries77c256$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8892248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Golden State Valkyries78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5532750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Mystics43c239.45$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0817656.8%100 W · 76 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics30c238.93$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.531,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Washington Mystics42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Mystics52c228.83$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5132150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Washington Mystics34c211.36$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9323955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Washington Mystics19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3821440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed Golden State Valkyries58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd654…45c2backed Golden State Valkyries78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444060%24 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked Washington Mystics22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab61…fb2bbacked Washington Mystics60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Golden State Valkyries76c199.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4722446%103 W · 121 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Golden State Valkyries77c194.8$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.86137.7%23 W · 38 L-8.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Washington Mystics39c194.17$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8210453.8%56 W · 48 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Golden State Valkyries74c188$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.357360.3%44 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Golden State Valkyries78c187$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.141172.7%8 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick73cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Washington Mystics34c174.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5230649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Washington Mystics34c171$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.143231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Washington Mystics59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3105…2e7ebacked Washington Mystics34c168.94$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.442045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Washington Mystics36c149.11$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Washington Mystics28c141$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.78837.5%33 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Golden State Valkyries77c140$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.228447.9%136 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Golden State Valkyries72c137.88$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4834753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Washington Mystics51c137.37$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Washington Mystics47c135.43$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.137368.5%50 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Washington Mystics43c131.39$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.792955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbafe…33a6backed Washington Mystics23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Golden State Valkyries65c130$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.21353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.