WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d1bb5b142888246735550aa5b7ef27e5820f86020bcbaa5b864bc480a35b1b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Golden State Valkyries, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 8,632$4,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,895.31 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 4,272$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.6 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 3,076$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.25 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 2,179$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.21 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 1,804$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.73 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 41c | 837.98$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.77 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 326.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…c3ebbacked Golden State Valkyries | 44c | 226.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 207.56$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 201.85$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Washington Mystics | 59c | 178.18$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 170.76$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 138$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 128.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Washington Mystics | 65c | 122$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 72.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 63.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Golden State Valkyries | 40c | 50.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 47.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 40.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Golden State Valkyries | 32c | 34.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)this page
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 145.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 146.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 147.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 148.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 149.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.