WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2993e895957f42eec3f7887d30c267d2165fbe303c11154946b8381cfe4d5aec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 58c | 11,698$6,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,756.28 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 40c | 4,755$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.2 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 53c | 1,576$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.24 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 1,119$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.47 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 43c | 1,100$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.09 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 891.94$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.41 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 44c | 858.86$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.96 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 633.67$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.62 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 45c | 555$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.02 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 47c | 493.33$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.28 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd4…1fabbacked Over | 4c | 488.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 470.07$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.5 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 48c | 440.67$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.15 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 47c | 400.65$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.87 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 45c | 352.15$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.82 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 320.7$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.27 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ed…25bebacked Over | 52c | 296.25$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.05 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Over | 55c | 274.55$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.73 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 211.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x770f…ac44backed Over | 15c | 197.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 49c | 189.45$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…908ebacked Under | 48c | 180.52$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 55c | 140.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 47c | 138$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…da36backed Under | 34c | 126.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 37c | 113.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 36c | 113.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 17c | 105.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 84.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under | 45c | 80.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 77.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 55c | 77.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 53c | 75.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 47c | 72.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 49c | 72.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 37c | 70.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 41c | 66.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 45c | 56.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 43c | 50.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 38.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Over | 55c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 37c | 35.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Over | 54c | 35.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 34c | 30.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 54c | 30.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 72c | 29.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Under | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 54c | 26.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 54c | 24.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Over | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 147.5this page
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 145.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 146.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 148.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 149.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.