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Tennis · resolved market

Menorca: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Pol Martin Tiffon

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pol Martin Tiffonof Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo, Pol Martin Tiffon
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x627f…06dcbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo12c3,677$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.014744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo6c1,775$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo7c1,702$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.117,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pol Martin Tiffon74c1,667$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.122,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo25c978.36$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6930131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo27c837.9$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0830225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo5c645.87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.343,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo47c583.67$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.338343.4%36 W · 47 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo13c579.62$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.462,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Pol Martin Tiffon53c574$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.785949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo18c528.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0823429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo48c395.9$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.839,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo20c367.27$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.132,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pol Martin Tiffon67c359.43$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.949,40644.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L-245.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Pol Martin Tiffon55c358.07$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.091,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo49c296.76$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.411,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo27c290.65$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4467836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo13c242.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.256,55054.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L+287.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pol Martin Tiffon54c208.79$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.047,77447.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L+40.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9457349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo12c189.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.821,38416.5%228 W · 1,156 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo14c179.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.953,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo20c164.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5440548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo18c146.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.312,14556%1,201 W · 944 L+41.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo19c136.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.256,86748.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L+61.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pol Martin Tiffon51c126.8$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.771,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfaf…064abacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo16c111.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.582630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Pol Martin Tiffon80c106.73$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.521,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo20c105.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2136944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf97e…aa3fbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459757.7%56 W · 41 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6d5…7c98backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo12c96.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.257542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Pol Martin Tiffon52c94.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.482,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo15c86.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.218,05750.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L+90.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo14c76.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6922646%104 W · 122 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo14c76.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6948650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Pol Martin Tiffon53c74.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.947,20149.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L+114.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo46c63.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0371165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd913…2cf7backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo46c63.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.031770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+43.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo24c59.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1940048.5%194 W · 206 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo44c55.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3453544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaef4…e208backed Pol Martin Tiffon56c52.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Pol Martin Tiffon54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2312447.6%59 W · 65 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Pol Martin Tiffon80c49.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8343062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Pol Martin Tiffon68c49.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.694,78449.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L+177.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Pol Martin Tiffon51c48.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.886360.3%38 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Pol Martin Tiffon58c43.69$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.182,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Pol Martin Tiffon52c42.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.261,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo46c42.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.369051.2%353 W · 337 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x627f…595cbacked Pol Martin Tiffon73c40.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1612477.4%96 W · 28 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo48c39.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9147653.2%253 W · 223 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo48c35.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.122,44551.6%1,262 W · 1,183 L+8.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo46c29.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5622747.6%108 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Pol Martin Tiffon54c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8860240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e7…c067backed Pol Martin Tiffon57c25.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.028868.2%60 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Pol Martin Tiffon55c19.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.741,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.