Tennis · resolved market
Liege: Felix Balshaw vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69236cf29ceceb3d484dc4303d50da101f446720eca28ad2799f89d919133aab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Felix Balshawof Felix Balshaw, Carlos Sanchez Jover
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 22c | 2,018$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.8 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Felix Balshaw | 79c | 1,313$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.69 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Felix Balshaw | 70c | 1,000$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.98 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e889backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 29c | 543.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.17 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Felix Balshaw | 70c | 426.24$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 31c | 300$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…7357backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 5c | 251.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 29c | 202.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 28c | 184.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Carlos Sanchez Jover | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 11c | 108.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 22c | 105$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…b250backed Felix Balshaw | 68c | 101.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Carlos Sanchez Jover | 30c | 100.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 31c | 95.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 12c | 92.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 17c | 86.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Felix Balshaw | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 27c | 79.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Felix Balshaw | 72c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…2cf7backed Felix Balshaw | 62c | 56.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Felix Balshaw | 72c | 55.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Felix Balshaw | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…200bbacked Felix Balshaw | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Felix Balshaw | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Felix Balshaw | 78c | 27.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Felix Balshaw | 70c | 23.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…4cc2backed Felix Balshaw | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Felix Balshaw | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Felix Balshaw | 57c | 17.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Felix Balshaw | 72c | 17.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…0f35backed Felix Balshaw | 63c | 16.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Felix Balshaw | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Felix Balshaw | 72c | 14.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.